Teb chaws Europe; Sawv ntawm kev lim hiam: Geopolitics ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua
Teb chaws Europe; Sawv ntawm kev lim hiam: Geopolitics ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua
Qhov kev kwv yees tsis zoo no yuav tsom mus rau European geopolitics vim nws cuam tshuam txog kev hloov pauv huab cua thaum xyoo 2040 thiab 2050. Raws li koj nyeem, koj yuav pom cov teb chaws Europe uas ua rau muaj kev tsis txaus noj mov thiab kev tawm tsam thoob plaws. Koj yuav pom cov teb chaws Europe qhov twg UK rub tawm ntawm European Union tag nrho, thaum lwm lub tebchaws koom nrog nyo hau rau Russia txoj kev loj hlob ntawm lub zog. Thiab koj tseem yuav pom cov teb chaws Europe uas ntau ntawm nws lub tebchaws poob rau hauv txhais tes ntawm tsoomfwv cov neeg tseem ceeb tshaj plaws uas tsom mus rau ntau lab tus neeg tawg rog huab cua khiav mus rau Tebchaws Europe los ntawm Africa thiab Middle East.
Tab sis, ua ntej peb pib, cia peb ua ob peb yam meej. Qhov snapshot no - lub neej yav tom ntej geopolitical ntawm Tebchaws Europe - tsis tau rub tawm ntawm huab cua nyias. Txhua yam koj tab tom yuav nyeem yog ua los ntawm kev ua haujlwm ntawm tsoomfwv cov kev kwv yees los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas thiab Tebchaws Askiv, los ntawm cov koom haum ntiav thiab tsoomfwv koom nrog kev xav, nrog rau kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov neeg sau xov xwm zoo li Gywnne Dyer, ib tug thawj kws sau ntawv nyob rau hauv daim teb no. Txuas mus rau feem ntau ntawm cov peev txheej siv tau teev nyob rau hauv kawg.
Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, lub snapshot no kuj yog raws li cov kev xav hauv qab no:
Tsoom fwv thoob ntiaj teb kev nqis peev rau kev txwv tsis pub dhau los yog rov qab hloov pauv huab cua yuav nyob nruab nrab mus rau qhov tsis muaj nyob.
Tsis muaj kev sim ntawm planetary geoengineering yog ua.
Hnub ci kev ua si tsis poob hauv qab nws lub xeev tam sim no, yog li txo lub ntiaj teb kub.
Tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam tseem ceeb tau tsim nyob rau hauv fusion zog, thiab tsis muaj kev nqis peev loj hauv ntiaj teb no rau hauv lub teb chaws desalination thiab ntsug ua liaj ua teb infrastructure.
Txog xyoo 2040, kev hloov pauv huab cua yuav tau nce mus rau theem uas cov pa roj tsev cog khoom (GHG) cov ntsiab lus hauv huab cua ntau dua 450 feem ntawm ib lab.
Koj nyeem peb cov lus qhia txog kev hloov pauv huab cua thiab qhov tsis zoo-zoo li nws yuav muaj rau peb cov dej haus, kev ua liaj ua teb, ntug hiav txwv nroog, thiab cov nroj tsuag thiab tsiaj yog tias tsis muaj kev tawm tsam.
Nrog rau cov kev xav hauv siab, thov nyeem cov lus qhia hauv qab no nrog qhib siab.
Khoom noj khoom haus thiab zaj dab neeg ntawm ob Europeans
Ib qho ntawm cov teeb meem tseem ceeb tshaj plaws kev hloov pauv huab cua yuav cuam tshuam rau Tebchaws Europe thaum xyoo 2040s yuav yog zaub mov ruaj ntseg. Qhov kub nce siab yuav ua rau qhov dav dav ntawm Southern Europe poob ntau ntawm nws cov av (ua liaj ua teb) rau huab cua sov. Tshwj xeeb, cov teb chaws loj yav qab teb xws li Spain thiab Ltalis, nrog rau cov tebchaws me me sab hnub tuaj xws li Montenegro, Serbia, Bulgaria, Albania, Macedonia, thiab tim Nkij teb chaws, txhua tus yuav ntsib qhov kub ntxhov siab tshaj plaws, ua rau kev ua liaj ua teb ib txwm nyuaj.
Txawm hais tias qhov muaj dej yuav tsis muaj teeb meem ntau rau cov teb chaws Europe raws li nws yuav yog rau Africa thiab Middle East, qhov kub tshaj plaws yuav nres lub voj voog ntawm ntau cov qoob loo nyob sab Europe.
Piv txwv li, cov kev tshawb fawb los ntawm University of Reading ntawm ob hom qoob loo loj tshaj plaws, lowland indica, thiab upland japonica, pom tias ob qho tib si muaj kev kub ntxhov siab dua. Tshwj xeeb, yog tias qhov kub siab tshaj 35 degrees Celsius thaum lub sij hawm flowering theem, cov nroj tsuag yuav sterile, bearing me ntsis yog hais tias tej nplej. Ntau lub teb chaws sov thiab Esxias uas cov nplej yog cov khoom noj tseem ceeb uas twb tau pw ntawm ntug ntawm Goldilocks qhov kub thiab txias, yog li kev sov sov ntxiv tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev puas tsuaj. Tib yam kev phom sij yog tam sim no rau ntau European staple qoob loo xws li nplej thiab pob kws thaum kub nce siab dhau los ntawm lawv thaj tsam Goldilocks.
WWIII Climate Wars series txuas
WWIII CLIMATE WARS: NTAUB NTAWV
Tuam Tshoj, Kev Ua Txhaum Cai ntawm Yellow Dragon: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P3
Canada thiab Australia, A Deal Gone Bad: WWIII Climate Wars P4
Teb chaws Europe, Fortress Britain: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P5
Russia, Yug ntawm Kev Ua Liaj Ua Teb: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P6
Is Nrias teb, Tos rau Dab: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P7
Middle East, Poob rov qab rau hauv Cov Suab puam: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P8
Cov Neeg Esxias Qab Teb Hnub Tuaj, Drowning hauv Koj Yav Dhau Los: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P9
Teb chaws Africa, Tiv Thaiv Kev Nco: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P10
South America, kiv puag ncig: WWIII Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P11
WWIII CLIMATE WARS: GEOPOLITICS NTAWM CHAW UA HAUJ LWM
United States VS Mexico: Geopolitics of Climate Change
Canada thiab Australia, Fortresses Ice and Fire: Geopolitics of Climate Change
Russia, lub teb chaws Ottoman Strikes Back: Geopolitics ntawm kev hloov pauv huab cua
Is Nrias teb, Famine thiab Fiefdoms: Geopolitics ntawm Kev hloov pauv huab cua
Middle East, Collapse and Radicalization of Arab World: Geopolitics of Climate Change
Southeast Asia, Collapse of the Tigers: Geopolitics of Climate Change
Teb chaws Africa, Continent of Famine and War: Geopolitics of Climate Change
South America, Continent of Revolution: Geopolitics of Climate Change
WWIII CLIMATE WARS: YUAV UA LI CAS
Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws thiab Ntiaj Teb Tshiab Deal: Qhov Kawg Ntawm Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P12
Koj tuaj yeem ua dab tsi txog kev hloov huab cua: Qhov Kawg Ntawm Kev Nyab Xeeb Kev Nyab Xeeb P13
Tom ntej no tau teem caij hloov tshiab rau qhov kev kwv yees no
Forecast cov ntaub ntawv
Cov nram qab no nrov thiab cov koom haum txuas tau hais txog qhov kev kwv yees no:
Cov kab txuas hauv qab no Quantumrun tau hais txog qhov kev kwv yees no:
358 Kev Tuav Pov Thawj 
