I-Quantumrun

ISIKWELETU SESITHOMBE: I-Quantumrun

I-Generation Z izowushintsha kanjani umhlaba: Ikusasa Lomphakathi Wabantu P3

UDavid Tal, Umshicileli, i-Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
I-LinkedIn

ULwesibili, 09/15/2020 - 04:29

Ukukhuluma ngama-centennials kuyakhohlisa. Kusukela ngo-2016, basazalwa, futhi basebancane kakhulu ukuba basungule ngokugcwele imibono yabo yezenhlalakahle, ezomnotho kanye nezombusazwe. Kepha sisebenzisa amasu okubikezela ayisisekelo, sinombono ngezwe lama-Centennials asezokhula kuwo.

Yizwe elizobumba kabusha umlando futhi liguqule ukuthi kusho ukuthini ukuba ngumuntu. Futhi njengoba usuzobona, i-Centennials izoba isizukulwane esiphelele sokuholela isintu kule nkathi entsha.

Centennials: Isizukulwane samabhizinisi

Bazalwa phakathi kuka-~2000 no-2020, futhi ikakhulukazi izingane zika- Gen Xers, intsha yanamuhla eyikhulunyaka maduzane izoba iqoqo lezizukulwane elikhulu kunawo wonke emhlabeni. Sebevele bamele amaphesenti angu-25.9 wabantu base-US (2016), i-1.3 billion emhlabeni jikelele; futhi lapho ithimba labo liphela ngo-2020, bazomela abantu abaphakathi kwezigidigidi ezi-1.6 kuya kwezi-2 emhlabeni wonke.

Bachazwa njengabomdabu bokuqala bedijithali njengoba bengakaze bazi umhlaba ngaphandle kwe-inthanethi. Njengoba sizoxoxa, lonke ikusasa labo (ngisho nobuchopho babo) liyaxhunywa ukuze livumelane nezwe elihlala lixhumeke kakhulu neliyinkimbinkimbi. Lesi sizukulwane sihlakaniphile, sivuthiwe, sinosomabhizinisi, futhi sinomfutho ophakeme wokwenza umthelela omuhle emhlabeni. Kodwa yini eyabangela lesi simo esingokwemvelo ukuba sibe abahambi abaziphethe kahle?

Izehlakalo ezakha ukucabanga kwekhulunyaka

Ngokungafani no-Gen Xers kanye nezinkulungwane zeminyaka ezingaphambi kwabo, izinkulungwane zeminyaka (kusukela ngo-2016) azikatholi isenzakalo esikhulu esishintshe umhlaba ngokuyisisekelo, okungenani phakathi neminyaka yazo yokukhula phakathi kweminyaka eyi-10 kuya kwengama-20 ubudala. Iningi lalibancane kakhulu ukuthi lingaliqonda noma lingakaze lizalwe ngesikhathi sezehlakalo zomhla zi-9/11, izimpi zase-Afghanistan nase-Iraq, kuze kufike ku-Arab Spring ka-2010.

Kodwa-ke, nakuba i-geopolitics kungenzeka ayizange idlale indima enkulu engqondweni yabo, ukubona umthelela wenkinga yezimali ka-2008-9 kubazali babo kwaba ukushaqeka kwangempela kokuqala ohlelweni lwabo. Ukuhlanganyela ebunzimeni amalungu omkhaya wabo okwakudingeka adlule kubo kwawafundisa izifundo zakuqala zokuthobeka, kuyilapho futhi kuwafundisa ukuthi ukuqashwa ngendlela evamile akusona isiqinisekiso esiqinisekile sokulondeka ngokwezimali. Yingakho 61 amaphesenti yeminyaka eyikhulu yase-US igqugquzelwa ukuba ngosomabhizinisi kunokuba izisebenzi.

Khonamanjalo, uma kuziwa ezindabeni zomphakathi, izinkulungwane zeminyaka ziyakhula ngezikhathi ezithuthuka ngempela njengoba zihlobene nokugunyazwa okukhulayo komshado wezitabane, ukukhuphuka kokunemba okwedlulele kwezombusazwe, ukwanda kokuqwashisa ngesihluku samaphoyisa, njll. Eminyakeni eyikhulu abazalelwa eNyakatho Melika futhi E-Europe, abaningi bakhula benemibono eyamukelekayo kakhulu yamalungelo e-LGBTQ, kanye nokuzwela kakhulu ukulingana ngokobulili nezindaba zobudlelwane bobuhlanga, kanye nombono ohluke kakhulu mayelana nokuqedwa kwezidakamizwa. Okwamanje, 50 amaphesenti iminyaka eyikhulu ikhomba njengamasiko amaningi kunentsha ngo-2000.

Ngokuphathelene nesici esisobala kakhulu sokubumba ukucabanga kwekhulunyaka-i-inthanethi-iminyaka eyikhulu inombono oxegayo ngokumangazayo kuyo kuneminyaka eyinkulungwane. Ngenkathi iwebhu imele ithoyizi elisha ngokumangalisayo nelicwebezelayo lezinkulungwane zeminyaka ukuthi licabange ngakho phakathi neminyaka yawo-20s, eminyakeni eyikhulu, iwebhu ayihlukile kunomoya esiwuphefumulayo noma amanzi esiwaphuzayo, ibalulekile ekusindeni kodwa akuyona into abayibona njengeshintsha umdlalo. . Eqinisweni, ukufinyelela kuwebhu kwekhulunyaka sekujwayelekile kangangokuthi amaphesenti angama-77 abaneminyaka engu-12 kuya kwengu-17 manje sebenomakhalekhukhwini (2015).

I-inthanethi iyingxenye yabo ngokwemvelo kangangokuthi yaze yalolongela ukucabanga kwabo ezingeni lemizwa. Ososayensi bathole umthelela wokukhula ngewebhu kuye kwanciphisa ngokuphawulekayo ukunaka kwentsha namuhla kuya kumasekhondi angu-8, uma kuqhathaniswa namasekhondi angu-12 ngo-2000. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ubuchopho bekhulunyaka buhluke nje. Izingqondo zabo ziyaba abakwazi ukuhlola izihloko eziyinkimbinkimbi nokubamba ngekhanda inani elikhulu ledatha (okungukuthi izici amakhompyutha angcono kuzo), kuyilapho sebeba nekhono kakhulu ekushintsheni phakathi kwezihloko eziningi nemisebenzi ehlukahlukene, nokucabanga okungaqondile (okungukuthi izici ezihlobene nomcabango ongaqondakali amakhompyutha okwamanje anenkinga nawo).

Okokugcina, njengoba iminyaka eyikhulu isazalwa kuze kube ngu-2020, intsha yayo yamanje neyesikhathi esizayo nayo izothinteka kakhulu ngokukhishwa okuzayo kwezimoto ezizimele kanye nezimakethe ezinkulu zemishini ye-Virtual and Augmented Reality (VR/AR).

Isibonelo, ngenxa yezimoto ezizimele, i-Centennials izoba yisizukulwane sokuqala, sesimanje esingasadingi ukufunda ukushayela. Ngaphezu kwalokho, laba bashayeli babashayeli abazimele bazomela izinga elisha lokuzimela nenkululeko, okusho ukuthi ama-Centennials ngeke besancika kubazali babo noma izingane zakubo ezindala ukuze zibashayele. Funda okwengeziwe esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lezokuthutha chungechunge.

Ngokuqondene namadivayisi e-VR nawe-AR, sizokuhlola lokho ngasekupheleni kwalesi sahluko.

Uhlelo lwenkolelo ye-Centennial

Uma kuziwa kumagugu, iminyaka eyikhulu ikhululekile ngokwemvelo uma kuziwa ezindabeni zomphakathi, njengoba kuphawuliwe ngenhla. Kepha kungamangaza abaningi ukufunda ukuthi ngandlela thize lesi sizukulwane siphinde silondoloze ngendlela emangalisayo futhi siziphathe kahle uma siqhathaniswa nezinkulungwane zeminyaka kanye noGen Xers lapho besebancane. Iminyaka emibili Inhlolovo Yohlelo Lokubhekwa Kokuziphatha Kwentsha olwenziwa entsheni yase-US yi-US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention yathola ukuthi uma kuqhathaniswa nentsha ngo-1991, intsha yanamuhla yile:

mancane ngamaphesenti angu-43 amathuba okuba abheme;
Amaphesenti angu-34 amathuba okuthi azitike ngotshwala namaphesenti angu-19 amathuba okuthi ake abuphuze utshwala; kanye ne
Amaphesenti angama-45 amathuba okuthi aye ocansini ngaphambi kokuba abe neminyaka eyi-13.

Lelo phuzu lokugcina libe nomthelela ekwehleni ngamaphesenti angama-56 kwentsha ekhulelwayo okuqoshwe namuhla uma kuqhathaniswa no-1991. Okunye okutholakele kuveze ukuthi mancane amathuba okuba abantu abaneminyaka eyikhulu baxabane esikoleni, bafake amabhande ezihlalo (92%) futhi bakhathazeke kakhulu. mayelana nomthelela wethu wemvelo (amaphesenti angama-76). Ububi balesi sizukulwane ukuthi baya ngokuya bethanda ukukhuluphala.

Sekukonke, lokhu kuthambekela kokwenqaba ubungozi kuholele ekuboneni okusha ngalesi sizukulwane: Lapho Iminyaka Eyinkulungwane ivame ukubonwa njengabanethemba lokuhle, iminyaka eyikhulu ingamaqiniso. Njengoba kushiwo ngaphambili, bakhule bebona imindeni yabo idonsa kanzima ukuze ilulame enkingeni yezimali ka-2008-9. Ngokwengxenye ngenxa yalokho, ama-centennials abe nawo ukukholwa okuncane kakhulu ku-American Dream (kanye nokunye) kunezizukulwane ezandulele. Kuleli qiniso, iminyaka eyikhulu iqhutshwa umuzwa omkhulu wokuzimela nokuziqondisa, izici ezidlala ekuthambekeleni kwabo kwezamabhizinisi.

Elinye inani lekhulunyaka elingase liqhamuke njengokuqabulayo kwabanye abafundi ukukhetha kwabo ukuxhumana phakathi mathupha kunokuxhumana kwedijithali. Futhi, njengoba bekhula begxile kakhulu emhlabeni wedijithali, impilo yangempela ezwakala iyinoveli eqabulayo kubo (futhi, ukuguqulwa kombono weminyaka eyinkulungwane). Uma kubhekwa le ntandokazi, kuyajabulisa ukubona ukuthi izinhlolovo zakuqala zalesi sizukulwane zibonisa ukuthi:

abangamaphesenti angu-66 bathi bakhetha ukuhlangana nabangane mathupha;
amaphesenti angu-43 akhetha ukuthenga ezitolo ezivamile zezitini nodaka; uma kuqhathaniswa
Amaphesenti angu-38 ancamela ukuthenga ku-inthanethi.

Intuthuko yakamuva yekhulunyaka ukuqwashisa kwabo okukhulayo ngomkhondo wabo wedijithali. Ngokunokwenzeka ekuphenduleni izambulo ze-Snowden, izinkulungwane zeminyaka zibonise ukutholwa nokukhetha okuhlukile kwezinsizakalo zokuxhumana ezingaziwa nezingapheli, njenge-Snapchat, kanye nokungafuni ukuthwetshulwa ezimweni ezibeka engcupheni. Kubonakala sengathi ubumfihlo nokungaziwa kuba yizimiso eziyinhloko zalesi 'sizukulwane sedijithali' njengoba zikhula zibe abantu abadala.

Ikusasa lezezimali lekhulunyaka kanye nomthelela wabo kwezomnotho

Njengoba ingxenye enkulu yeminyaka eyikhulu isencane kakhulu ukuthi ingangena emakethe yezemisebenzi, umthelela wayo ogcwele emnothweni womhlaba kunzima ukubikezela. Lokho kusho, singasho okulandelayo:

Okokuqala, izinkulungwane zeminyaka zizoqala ukungena emakethe yezemisebenzi ngamanani amakhulu maphakathi nawo-2020 futhi zizongena eminyakeni yazo yokuqala yokwenza imali ngeminyaka yawo-2030. Lokhu kusho ukuthi umnikelo osuselwe ekusetshenzisweni kwezinkulungwane zeminyaka emnothweni uzobonakala ubalulekile kuphela ngemva kuka-2025. Kuze kube yileso sikhathi, inani labo lizokhawulelwa kubathengisi bezimpahla ezithengwayo ezishibhile kuphela, futhi banethonya elingaqondile kuphela ekusetshenzisweni kwemali okuphelele kwekhaya ngokuthonya izinqumo zokuthenga. abazali babo beGen X.

Lokho kusho ukuthi, ngisho nangemva kuka-2025, umthelela wezomnotho weminyaka eyikhulu ungaqhubeka nokuntenga isikhathi eside. Njengoba kuxoxwe esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lomsebenzi uchungechunge, amaphesenti angu-47 emisebenzi yanamuhla asengozini yomshini/ikhompyutha ezishintshayo phakathi neminyaka embalwa ezayo. Lokho kusho ukuthi njengoba inani labantu emhlabeni landa, inani lemisebenzi etholakalayo lizoncipha. Futhi njengoba isizukulwane seminyaka eyinkulungwane silingana futhi silingana ngokushelelayo kwedijithali kuya eminyakeni eyikhulu, imisebenzi esele yakusasa cishe izodliwa izinkulungwane zeminyaka ngenani lawo leminyaka elide lomsebenzi osebenzayo nolwazi.

Isici sokugcina esizosisho ukuthi ikhulunyaka linomkhuba oqinile wokonga ngemali yabo. 57 amaphesenti ngingancamela ukonga kunokuchitha. Uma lesi sici singadlulela ebudaleni obuyikhulu, singaba nomthelela omubi (yize uzinze) emnothweni phakathi kuka-2030 kuya ku-2050.

Uma kubhekwa zonke lezi zici, kungase kube lula ukusula ikhulunyaka ngokuphelele, kodwa njengoba uzobona ngezansi, zingabamba ukhiye wokusindisa umnotho wethu wesikhathi esizayo.

Lapho i-Centennials ithatha ipolitiki

Ngokufanayo neminyaka eyinkulungwane ephambi kwabo, usayizi weqembu lekhulunyaka njengendawo yokuvota echazwe ngokukhululekile (efinyelela ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezimbili ngo-2020) kusho ukuthi bazoba nethonya elikhulu okhethweni oluzayo kanye nezombusazwe nje jikelele. Ukuthambekela kwabo okuqinile kwenkululeko kwezenhlalo kuzobabona besekela kakhulu amalungelo alinganayo abo bonke abantu abancane, kanye nezinqubomgomo ezikhululekile mayelana nemithetho yokufika kanye nokunakekelwa kwezempilo kwendawo yonke.

Ngeshwa, leli thonya elikhulu lezepolitiki ngeke lizwakale kuze kube ngu- ~ 2038 lapho zonke izinkulungwane zeminyaka zizoba badala ngokwanele ukuvota. Futhi nangaleso sikhathi, leli thonya ngeke lithathwe ngokungathi sína kuze kube ngama-2050s, lapho iningi labantu bekhulunyaka selivuthwe ngokwanele ukuba livote njalo nangobuhlakani. Kuze kube yileso sikhathi, umhlaba uzoqhutshwa ngokubambisana okuhle kweGen Xers kanye nezinkulungwane zeminyaka.

Izinselelo zesikhathi esizayo lapho ama-Centennials azokhombisa ubuholi

Njengoba kuphawuliwe ngaphambili, iminyaka eyikhulu izozithola iphambili ekuhlelweni kabusha okukhulu komnotho womhlaba. Lokhu kuzomela inselelo eyingqophamlando ngempela le minyaka eyikhulu ezofaneleka ngokukhethekile ukubhekana nayo.

Leyo nselelo kuzoba wukuzenzela okuningi kwemisebenzi. Njengoba kuchazwe ngokugcwele ochungechungeni lwethu Lwekusasa Lomsebenzi, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuthi amarobhothi akezi ukuzothatha imisebenzi yethu, azothatha (azenzakalelayo) imisebenzi yenjwayelo. Ama-switchboard opharetha, omabhalane bamafayela, othayiphayo, abenzeli bamathikithi—noma nini lapho sethula ubuchwepheshe obusha, imisebenzi eyisidina, ephindaphindayo ehilela ukuqonda okuyisisekelo kanye nokuxhumana kwesandla neso kuwela eceleni kwendlela.

Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, le nqubo izoqeda yonke imisebenzi noma izomane inciphise inani eliphelele labasebenzi abadingekayo ukwenza iphrojekthi. Futhi nakuba le nqubo ephazamisayo yemishini ethatha isikhundla sokusebenza kwabantu ibikhona kusukela ekuqaleni kwenguquko yezimboni, okuhlukile kulokhu ijubane nezinga lalokhu kuphazamiseka, ikakhulukazi maphakathi nawo-2030. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi ikhola eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka noma ikhola emhlophe, cishe yonke imisebenzi isesigabeni sokunquma.

Ekuqaleni, umkhuba wokuzenzakalela uzomela inzuzo kubaphathi, amabhizinisi, kanye nabanikazi bezimali, njengoba isabelo sabo senzuzo yenkampani sizokhula ngenxa yabasebenzi abasebenza ngomshini (uyazi, esikhundleni sokwabelana ngenzuzo eshiwo njengamaholo kubasebenzi abangabantu). Kodwa njengoba izimboni eziningi namabhizinisi enza lolu shintsho, iqiniso elingaxakile lizoqala ukuvela ngaphansi: Ubani ngempela ozokhokhela imikhiqizo nezinkonzo ezikhiqizwa yilezi zinkampani lapho iningi labantu liphoqeleka ukuthi lingasebenzi? Ukusikisela: Akuwona amarobhothi.

Lesi simo singesinye izinkulungwane zeminyaka ezosebenza ngokumelene nazo. Uma kubhekwa ukunethezeka kwabo kwemvelo ngobuchwepheshe, amazinga aphezulu emfundo (afana neminyaka eyinkulungwane), ukuthambekela kwabo okukhulu kwezamabhizinisi, kanye nokungena kwabo emakethe yezemisebenzi yendabuko ngenxa yokuncipha kwesidingo sabasebenzi, izinkulungwane zeminyaka ngeke zibe nokunye okunye ngaphandle kokuziqalela amabhizinisi abo. ngobuningi.

Lokhu kuqhuma kwemisebenzi yokudala, yezamabhizinisi (okungenzeka isekelwe/ixhaswe ohulumeni bakusasa) ngokungangabazeki kuzoholela ezinhlobonhlobo zezindlela ezintsha zobuchwepheshe nesayensi, imisebenzi emisha, ngisho nezimboni ezintsha ngokuphelele. Kodwa akukacaci ukuthi leli gagasi lokuqalisa lekhulunyaka lizogcina likhiqize amakhulu ezigidi zemisebenzi emisha edingekayo emikhakheni eyenza inzuzo nengenzi nzuzo ukweseka bonke labo abaphoqelwa ekusweleni imisebenzi.

Ukuphumelela (noma ukuntuleka) kwaleli gagasi lokuqalisa lekhulunyaka kuzonquma ngokwengxenye ukuthi ohulumeni bomhlaba baqala nini ukusungula inqubomgomo yezomnotho eyivulandlela: Imali Eyisisekelo Yomhlaba Wonke (UBI). Ichazwe ngokuningiliziwe ochungechungeni lwethu Lwekusasa Lomsebenzi, i-UBI iyimali engenayo enikezwa zonke izakhamuzi (ezicebile nezimpofu) ngazinye futhi ngaphandle kwemibandela, okungukuthi ngaphandle kokuhlolwa kwendlela noma imfuneko yomsebenzi. Nguhulumeni okunika imali yamahhala nyanga zonke, njengempesheni yabadala kodwa yawo wonke umuntu.

I-UBI izoxazulula inkinga yabantu abangenayo imali eyanele yokuphila ngenxa yokuntuleka kwemisebenzi, futhi izophinde ixazulule inkinga enkulu yezomnotho ngokunikeza abantu imali eyanele yokuthenga izinto futhi ugcine umnotho osekelwe kubathengi uduma. Futhi njengoba ubuqagele, iminyaka eyikhulu izoba yisizukulwane sokuqala ukukhula ngaphansi kohlelo lwezomnotho olusekelwa yi-UBI. Ukuthi lokhu kuzobathinta ngendlela eyakhayo noma engeyinhle, kuyodingeka silinde futhi sibone.

Kunezinye ezimbili ezinkulu ezintsha/amathrendi ama-centennials azokhombisa kuwo ubuholi.

Okokuqala i-VR ne-AR. Ichazwe ngokuningiliziwe kweyethu Ikusasa le-inthanethi uchungechunge, i-VR isebenzisa ubuchwepheshe ukuze imiselele umhlaba wangempela umhlaba olingisiwe (chofoza kusibonelo sevidiyo), kuyilapho i-AR ishintsha ngokwedijithali noma ithuthukisa umbono wakho ngomhlaba wangempela (chofoza kusibonelo sevidiyo). Kalula nje, i-VR ne-AR kuzoba ezeminyaka eyikhulu, lokho i-inthanethi yayiyikho ezinkulungwaneni zeminyaka. Futhi nakuba izinkulungwane zeminyaka kungase kube yizo ezisungula lobu buchwepheshe ekuqaleni, kuzoba iminyaka eyikhulu ezenza kube eyabo futhi ithuthukise amandla abo aphelele.

Okokugcina, iphuzu lokugcina esizolithinta ubunjiniyela bezakhi zofuzo nokwandiswa kwezakhi zofuzo. Ngesikhathi izinkulungwane zeminyaka zingena ngasekupheleni kweminyaka engu-30 no-40, imboni yezokunakekelwa kwempilo izokwazi ukwelapha noma yisiphi isifo sofuzo (ngaphambi nangemuva kokuzalwa) futhi yelaphe kakhulu noma yikuphi ukulimala ngokomzimba. (Funda kabanzi esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lempilo series.) Kodwa ubuchwepheshe esizobusebenzisa ukwelapha umzimba womuntu buzophinde busetshenziswe ukuze siwuthuthukise, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi kungokushintsha izakhi zakho zofuzo noma ukufaka ikhompuyutha ngaphakathi kobuchopho bakho. (Funda kabanzi esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lokuziphendukela Kwabantu uchungechunge.)

Iminyaka eyikhulu izothatha kanjani isinqumo sokusebenzisa lokhu kweqa kwenani ekunakekelweni kwezempilo kanye nokuphatha kwebhayoloji? Ingabe singalindela ngobuqotho ukuthi bayisebenzise nje ukuze uhlale unempilo? Ingabe iningi labo belingeke liyisebenzisele ukuphila isikhathi eside? Ingabe abanye bebengeke banqume ukuba namandla angaphezu kwavamile? Futhi uma benza lokhu kugxuma phambili, ngeke yini bafune ukunikeza izinzuzo ezifanayo ezinganeni zabo zesikhathi esizayo, okungukuthi izingane zomklami?

Umbono womhlaba weCentennial

Iminyaka eyikhulu izoba isizukulwane sokuqala sokwazi okwengeziwe ngobuchwepheshe obusha ngokuyisisekelo—i-inthanethi—kunabazali babo (Gen Xers). Kodwa futhi bazoba yisizukulwane sokuqala esizalwa ku:

Umhlaba ongase ungawadingi wonke (re: imisebenzi embalwa esikhathini esizayo);
Izwe lenala lapho bebengasebenza khona kancane ukuze baphile kunanoma yisiphi isizukulwane esiye sakwenza emakhulwini eminyaka;
Umhlaba lapho okwangempela nedijithali kuhlanganiswa khona ukuze kwakhe into entsha ngokuphelele; futhi
Umhlaba lapho imikhawulo yomzimba womuntu izoshintsha khona ngokokuqala ngqá ngenxa yobungcweti besayensi.

Sekukonke, iminyaka eyikhulu ayizange izalwe kunoma iyiphi inkathi yesikhathi esidala; bayokhula babe yisikhathi esiyochaza kabusha umlando wesintu. Kodwa kusukela ngo-2016, basebancane, futhi abakaziwa ukuthi hlobo luni lomhlaba olulindile. … Njengoba manje ngicabanga ngakho, mhlawumbe kufanele silinde ishumi leminyaka noma amabili ngaphambi kokuba sibavumele bafunde lokhu.