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Izimoto ezingashayeli zizowamisa kanjani kabusha amadolobha amakhulu akusasa: Ikusasa Lamadolobha P4

UDavid Tal, Umshicileli, i-Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
I-LinkedIn

ULwesibili, 09/15/2020 - 09:01

Izimoto ezizishayelayo ziyimishini ye-hype egcina imidiya yezobuchwepheshe ezinzwaneni zayo. Kodwa ngawo wonke amandla abo okuphazamisa izimboni zezimoto namatekisi emhlabeni jikelele, bamiselwe futhi ukuba nomthelela omkhulu ngendlela esiwakhulisa ngayo amadolobha ethu nokuthi sizophila kanjani kuwo.

Zimayelana nani izimoto ezizishayelayo (ezizimele)?

Izimoto ezizishayelayo ziyikusasa lokuthi sizohamba kanjani. Iningi labadlali ababalulekile emkhakheni wezimoto ezizimele (ama-AVs) babikezela ukuthi izimoto zokuqala ezizishayelayo zizobe sezitholakala ngokwezentengiso ngo-2020, zizobe sezivamile ngo-2030, futhi zizothatha indawo yezimoto eziningi ezijwayelekile ngo-2040-2045.

Leli kusasa alikude kangako, kodwa imibuzo isasele: Ingabe lawa ma-AV azobiza kakhulu kunezimoto ezivamile? Yebo. Ngabe bazobe bengekho emthethweni ukusebenza ezindaweni ezinkulu zezwe lakini lapho beqala ukusebenza? Yebo. Ngabe abantu abaningi bazosaba ukusebenzisa umgwaqo nalezi zimoto ekuqaleni? Yebo. Ingabe bazokwenza umsebenzi ofanayo nowomshayeli onolwazi? Yebo.

Ngakho-ke ngaphandle kwesici esipholile se-tech, kungani izimoto ezizishayelayo zithola i-hype engaka? Indlela eqondile yokuphendula lokhu ukubeka ohlwini izinzuzo ezihloliwe zezimoto ezizishayelayo, lezo ezifanele kakhulu kumshayeli ojwayelekile.

Okokuqala, izingozi zezimoto. Izingozi zezimoto eziyizigidi eziyisithupha zenzeka e-US kuphela unyaka ngamunye, futhi e 2012, lezo zigameko ziholele ekufeni kwabantu abangu-3,328 421,000 kwalimala abangu-2013 1.4. Phindaphinda lelo nani emhlabeni wonke, ikakhulukazi emazweni asathuthuka lapho ukuqeqeshwa kwabashayeli kanye nokugcinwa kwamaphoyisa emigwaqeni kungaqini kangako. Eqinisweni, isilinganiso sango-XNUMX sabika ukufa kwabantu abayizigidi ezingu-XNUMX emhlabeni wonke ngenxa yezingozi zezimoto.

Ezimweni eziningi, kwakunephutha lomuntu: umuntu ngamunye wayecindezelekile, enesithukuthezi, esozela, ephazamisekile, edakiwe, njll. Amarobhothi, okwamanje, ngeke ahlupheke ngalezi zinkinga; bahlale beqaphile, bahlale behluzekile, banombono ophelele 360, futhi bayazi nemithetho yomgwaqo ngokuphelele. Eqinisweni, i-Google isivele ihlole lezi zimoto ngaphezu kwamamayela angu-100,000 ngezingozi ezingu-11 kuphela—zonke zibangelwa abashayeli abangabantu, hhayi ngaphansi.

Okulandelayo, uma uke waqeda omunye umuntu, uzokwazi ukuthi isikhathi sokusabela komuntu singahamba kancane kangakanani. Yingakho abashayeli abanomthwalo wemfanelo begcina ibanga elifanelekile phakathi kwabo nemoto engaphambi kwabo ngenkathi beshayela. Inkinga ukuthi inani elengeziwe lesikhala esinomthwalo wemfanelo linomthelela esilinganisweni esiningi sokuminyana emgwaqeni (ithrafikhi) esibhekana naso nsuku zonke. Izimoto ezizishayelayo zizokwazi ukuxhumana zodwa emgwaqeni futhi zihlanganyele ukuze zishayele zisondelane, kususwe ithuba lama-fender bender. Lokhu ngeke nje kulingane izimoto eziningi emgwaqeni futhi kuthuthukise izikhathi zokuhamba ezimaphakathi, kuzophinde kuthuthukise nokusebenza kwemoto yakho, ngaleyo ndlela yonge kugesi.

Uma sikhuluma ngophethiloli, umuntu ovamile akakwazi ukusebenzisa owakhe ngendlela efanele. Sisheshisa lapho singadingi. Silima amabhuleki kancane kakhulu lapho singadingi. Lokhu sikwenza kaningi kangangokuthi asikubhalisi ngisho emiqondweni yethu. Kodwa liyabhalisa, kokubili ohambweni lwethu olwandisiwe lokuya egalaji likaphethiloli kanye nomakhenikha wezimoto. Amarobhothi azokwazi ukulawula kangcono igesi namabhuleki ukuze asihambise kalula, anciphise ukusetshenziswa kwegesi ngamaphesenti angu-15, futhi anciphise ukucindezeleka nokuguga kwezingxenye zemoto—kanye nendawo esihlala kuyo.

Okokugcina, nakuba abanye benu bengase bajabulele isikhathi sokushayela imoto yakho ohambweni lomgwaqo olunelanga lwempelasonto, abantu ababi kakhulu kuphela abajabulela uhambo lwabo lokuya emsebenzini oluthatha amahora amaningi. Cabanga ngosuku lapho esikhundleni sokuthi ugcine amehlo akho emgwaqeni, ungahamba ngomkhumbi uye emsebenzini ngenkathi ufunda incwadi, ulalele umculo, ubheka ama-imeyili, upheqa i-inthanethi, ukhuluma nabathandekayo, njll.

UmMelika ovamile uchitha amahora angaba ngu-200 ngonyaka (cishe imizuzu engu-45 ngosuku) eshayela imoto yakhe. Uma ucabanga ukuthi isikhathi sakho sibiza uhhafu womholo omncane, yithi amadola amahlanu, lokho kungafinyelela ku-$325 billion ngesikhathi esilahlekile, esingakhiqizi e-US yonkana (kuthatha cishe izigidi ezingu-325 zabantu base-US 2015). Phindaphinda lokho konga isikhathi emhlabeni wonke futhi singabona izigidigidi zamadola zikhululwa ukuze kutholakale izinzuzo ezengeziwe.

Kunjalo, njengazo zonke izinto, kukhona okungekuhle ezimotweni ezizishayelayo. Kwenzekani uma ikhompuyutha yemoto yakho iphahlazeka? Ingabe ukwenza ukushayela kube lula kukhuthaze abantu ukuthi bashayele kaningi, ngaleyo ndlela kwandise isiminyaminya nokungcola? Ingabe imoto yakho ingagetshengwa ukuze kwebe ulwazi lwakho lomuntu siqu noma mhlawumbe ikuthumbe ukude ngenkathi usendleleni? Ngokunjalo, ingabe lezi zimoto zingase zisetshenziswe amaphekula ukuletha ibhomu ukude endaweni okuqondiswe kuyo? Siphendula le mibuzo nokunye okuningi esihlokweni sethu Ikusasa Lezokuthutha chungechunge.

Kodwa ubuhle nobubi bezimoto ezizishayelayo eceleni, zizowashintsha kanjani amadolobha esihlala kuwo?

Ithrafikhi iklanywe kabusha futhi incishiswa

Ngo-2013, isiminyaminya sezimoto sabiza umnotho waseBrithani, isiFulentshi, iJalimane neMelika $ 200 billion dollars (amaphesenti angu-0.8 we-GDP), isibalo okulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke sifinyelele ku-$300 wezigidigidi ngo-2030. E-Beijing kuphela, ukuminyana nokungcoliswa komoya kubiza lelo dolobha amaphesenti angu-7-15 we-GDP yalo minyaka yonke. Yingakho enye yezinzuzo ezinkulu izimoto ezizishayelayo ezizoba nayo emadolobheni ethu kuzoba ikhono lazo lokwenza imigwaqo yethu iphephe, isebenze kahle, futhi ingabi nethrafikhi uma kuqhathaniswa.

Lokhu kuzoqala esikhathini esizayo esiseduze (2020-2026) lapho izimoto ezishayelwa abantu kanye nezimoto ezizishayelayo ziqala ukwabelana ngomgwaqo. Ukwabelana ngezimoto kanye nezinkampani zamatekisi, njenge-Uber kanye nabanye esiqhudelana nabo, zizoqala ukuhambisa izindiza, amakhulu ezinkulungwane zezimoto ezizishayelayo emadolobheni amakhulu emhlabeni jikelele. Kungani?

Ngoba ngokusho kwe-Uber futhi cishe yonke isevisi yamatekisi laphaya, enye yezindleko ezinkulu (amaphesenti angama-75) ehambisana nokusebenzisa umsebenzi wabo iholo lomshayeli. Susa umshayeli futhi izindleko zokuthatha i-Uber zizoba ngaphansi kunokuba nokuba nemoto cishe kuzo zonke izimo. Ukube ama-AV nawo bekungawogesi (as Izibikezelo ze-Quantumrun zibikezela), izindleko ezincishisiwe zikaphethiloli zingadonsela intengo yokugibela i-Uber iye phansi ibe amapeni ngekhilomitha.

Ngokunciphisa izindleko zokuhamba ngalelo zinga, isidingo sokutshala ama- $ 25-60,000 ukuze ube nemoto yomuntu siqu siba ukunethezeka ngaphezu kwesidingo.

Sekukonke, bambalwa abantu abazoba nezimoto ngaleyo ndlela bakhiphe iphesenti lezimoto emigwaqeni. Futhi njengoba abantu abaningi besizakala ngokonga kwezindleko ezinwetshiwe zokwabelana ngezimoto (ukwabelana ngohambo lwakho lwetekisi nomuntu oyedwa noma ngaphezulu), lokho kuzosusa izimoto eziningi kanye nesiminyaminya emigwaqweni yethu.

Ngokuqhubeka esikhathini esizayo, lapho zonke izimoto sezizishayela ngokomthetho (2045-2050), sizobona nokuphela kwerobhothi. Cabanga ngalokhu: Njengoba izimoto zixhunywa ngokungenantambo kugridi yethrafikhi futhi zikwazi ukuxhumana zodwa kanye nengqalasizinda ezizungezile (okungukuthi Inthanethi Things), khona-ke ukulinda amarobhothi kuba nzima futhi kungasebenzi kahle. Ukuze ukubone ngeso lengqondo lokhu, bukela ividiyo engezansi, ye-MIT, ukuze ubone umehluko phakathi kwethrafikhi ebonakala ezimotweni ezivamile ezinamarobhothi kanye nezimoto ezizishayelayo ngaphandle kwamarobhothi.

Lolu hlelo alusebenzi ngokuvumela izimoto ukuthi zihambe ngokushesha, kodwa ngokunciphisa inani leziqalo nezitobhi okufanele zizenze ukuze zihambe edolobheni. Ochwepheshe babhekisela kulokhu njengezimpambanomgwaqo ezisekelwe ku-slot, ezinokufana okuningi nokulawulwa kwethrafikhi yezindiza. Kodwa ekugcineni, leli zinga le-automation lizovumela ukuhamba kwezimoto zethu ukuthi zisebenze kahle kakhulu, zivumele izimoto eziphindwe kabili emgwaqeni ngaphandle komehluko obonakalayo esiminyaminya.

Ukuphela kokubheka indawo yokupaka

Enye indlela izimoto ezingashayeli ezizothuthukisa ngayo isiminyaminya ukuthi zizonciphisa isidingo sendawo yokupaka engaseceleni komgwaqo, ngaleyo ndlela kuvuleke indawo eyengeziwe yomzila wezimoto. Cabangela lezi zimo:

Uma ubunemoto ezishayelayo, ungakwazi ukuyala ukuthi ikushayele uye emsebenzini, ikubeke emnyango ongaphambili, bese uzishayela ubuyela egaraji lasekhaya ukuze uthole indawo yokupaka mahhala. Kamuva, uma usuqedile usuku, umane uthumela imoto yakho ukuthi ikulande noma ikulande ngesikhathi esinqunyiwe.

Ngaphandle kwalokho, imoto yakho ingavele izitholele indawo yokupaka endaweni ngemuva kokukwehlisa, izikhokhele indawo yokupaka (isebenzisa i-akhawunti yakho yesikweletu egunyazwe ngaphambilini), bese ikuthatha uma uyishayela.

Imoto evamile ihlala ingenzi lutho ngamaphesenti angama-95 okuphila kwayo. Lokho kubonakala kuwukumosha uma kubhekwa ukuthi kuvamise ukuthenga okwesibili okukhulu kakhulu umuntu akwenzayo, ngemva nje kokubolekwa imali kokuqala. Yingakho isimo esizokhula kakhulu sizoba ukuthi njengoba abantu abaningi besebenzisa izinsiza zokwabelana ngezimoto, abantu bazovele baphume emotweni lapho beya khona futhi bangacabangi nhlobo ngokupaka njengoba itekisi isuka ukuze iphinde ilandele.

Sekukonke, isidingo sokupaka sizoncipha kancane kancane ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, okusho ukuthi izinkundla zebhola ezigcwele izindawo zokupaka ezigcwele amadolobha ethu, nezizungezile izitolo zethu ezinkulu nezitolo ezinkulu, zingambiwa bese ziguqulwa zibe yizindawo ezintsha zomphakathi noma amakhondomu. Lokhu akuyona into encane futhi; indawo yokupaka imelela cishe ingxenye eyodwa kwezintathu yendawo yedolobha. Ukwazi ukubuyisela ngisho ingxenye yaleyo mizi kuzokwenza izimanga ekuvuseleleni ukusetshenziswa komhlaba wedolobha. Ngaphezu kwalokho, indawo yokupaka esele ayisadingi ukuhlala ebangeni lokuhamba ngezinyawo futhi ingatholakala emaphethelweni amadolobha namadolobhana.

Ezokuthutha zomphakathi ziyaphazamiseka

Ezokuthutha zomphakathi, kungaba amabhasi, izimoto zasemgwaqweni, amashuttle, imizila ehamba ngaphansi, nayo yonke into ephakathi, izobhekana nosongo olukhona oluvela ezinsizeni zokwabelana ngamahhashi ezichazwe ngaphambili—futhi empeleni, akunzima ukubona ukuthi kungani.

Uma kwenzeka i-Uber noma i-Google iphumelela ukugcwalisa amadolobha ngenqwaba yezimoto ezisebenza ngogesi, ezizishayelayo ezinikezela ngokugibela okuqondile ukuya endaweni eya kubantu ngamapennies ngekhilomitha, kuzoba nzima ukuthi izinto zokuhamba zomphakathi ziqhudelane uma kubhekwa uhlelo lwemizila engaguquki. iyasebenza ngokwesiko.

Eqinisweni, i-Uber okwamanje yethula insizakalo entsha yokwabelana ngokugibela lapho ithatha abantu abaningi abaya endaweni ethile. Isibonelo, zicabange u-oda isevisi yokwabelana ngamahhashi ukuze ikuyise enkundleni yezemidlalo ye-baseball eseduze, kodwa ngaphambi kokuthi ikulande, isevisi ikunikeza isaphulelo ongasikhetha uma, endleleni, uthatha umgibeli wesibili oya endaweni efanayo. Ngokusebenzisa lo mqondo ofanayo, unga-oda ibhasi lokugibela ukuze likulande, lapho wabelana ngezindleko zalolo hambo phakathi kwabantu abahlanu, 10, 20 noma ngaphezulu. Isevisi enjalo ngeke yehlise izindleko kumsebenzisi ojwayelekile kuphela, kodwa ukuthatha komuntu siqu nakho kuzothuthukisa isevisi yamakhasimende.

Ngenxa yalezi zinsizakalo, amakhomishana ezokuthutha umphakathi emadolobheni amakhulu angase aqale ukubona ukwehla okukhulu kwemali engenayo yabagibeli phakathi kuka-2028-2034 (lapho izinsiza zokwabelana ngamahhashi zibikezelwa ukuthi zizokhula ngokujwayelekile ngokugcwele). Uma lokhu sekwenzekile, lezi zigungu ezilawula ezokuthutha zizosala nezinketho ezimbalwa.

Njengoba kunoxhaso oluncane lukahulumeni olutholakalayo, izinhlangano eziningi zokuhamba zomphakathi zizoqala ukusika imizila yamabhasi/yezimoto zomgwaqo ukuze zihlale zintanta, ikakhulukazi ezindaweni ezingaphansi kwedolobha. Ngokudabukisayo, ukwehlisa isevisi kuzokwandisa kuphela isidingo sezinsizakalo zokwabelana ngamahhashi, ngaleyo ndlela kusheshise ukuzungeza okuya phansi okusanda kuchazwa.

Amanye amakhomishana ezokuthutha umphakathi azofinyelela ekudayiseni imikhumbi yawo yamabhasi ngokuphelele ezinsizeni zangasese zokwabelana ngamahhashi futhi angenele indima yokulawula lapho eqondisa khona lezi zinsizakalo ezizimele, aqinisekise ukuthi asebenza ngendlela efanele futhi ephephile ukuze kuzuze umphakathi. Lokhu kudayiswa kuzokhulula izinsiza zezezimali ezinkulu ukuze kuvumele amakhomishini ezokuthutha zomphakathi ukuthi agxilise amandla awo kumanethiwekhi awo ahamba ngaphansi komhlaba azokhula ngokubaluleke kakhulu emadolobheni aminyene.

Uyabona, ngokungafani namabhasi, izinsiza zokwabelana ngabagibeli azisoze zadlula imigwaqo engaphansi komhlaba uma kuziwa ekususeni ngokushesha nangempumelelo inani elikhulu labantu ukusuka kwenye ingxenye yedolobha ukuya kwenye. Izitimela ezihamba ngaphansi komhlaba zenza izitobhi ezimbalwa, zibhekane nezimo zezulu ezimbi kakhulu, azinazo izehlakalo zethrafikhi ezingahleliwe, kuyilapho futhi kuyinketho evumelana kakhulu nemvelo ezimotweni (ngisho nezimoto zikagesi). Futhi uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi izitimela ezingaphansi kwezakhiwo ezidinga imali enkulu futhi zilawulwa kanjani, futhi zizohlala zikhona, kuwuhlobo lwezokuthutha okungenzeka ukuthi lubhekane nokuncintisana kwangasese.

Sekukonke lokho kusho ukuthi ngeminyaka yawo-2040s, sizobona ikusasa lapho izinsiza zokwabelana ngamahhashi zibusa ezokuthutha zomphakathi ngaphezu komhlabathi, kuyilapho amakhomishana akhona ezokuthutha umphakathi eqhubeka nokubusa futhi andisa ezokuthutha zomphakathi ngaphansi komhlaba. Futhi kubantu abaningi abahlala emadolobheni esikhathini esizayo, cishe bazosebenzisa izindlela zombili phakathi nohambo lwabo lwansuku zonke.

Idizayini yomgwaqo enikwe amandla ngobuchwepheshe futhi inethonya

Njengamanje, amadolobha ethu aklanyelwe ukunethezeka kwezimoto ngaphezu kwabahamba ngezinyawo. Kodwa njengoba ubungase uqagele manje, le nguquko yesikhathi esizayo yezimoto ezishayelayo izophendula lesi simo ekhanda layo, icabange kabusha idizayini yomgwaqo ukuze ibe abantu abahamba ngezinyawo.

Cabanga ngalokhu: Uma idolobha lingasadingeki ukuba linikeze indawo enkulu yokupaka izimoto ezinqenqemeni noma ukunciphisa isiminyaminya esibi kakhulu, khona-ke abahleli bedolobha bangathuthukisa imigwaqo yethu ukuze ibe nemigwaqo ebanzi, uhlaza, ukufakwa kobuciko nemizila yamabhayisikili.

Lezi zici zithuthukisa izinga lempilo endaweni yasemadolobheni ngokugqugquzela abantu ukuthi bahambe ngezinyawo esikhundleni sokushayela (ukwandisa impilo ebonakalayo emigwaqweni), kuyilapho kuthuthukisa ikhono lezingane, abadala kanye nabantu abakhubazekile ukuze bazulazule edolobheni ngokuzimela. Futhi, amadolobha agcizelela amabhayisikili ngaphezu kokuhamba kwezimoto aluhlaza futhi anekhwalithi yomoya engcono. Isibonelo, e-Copenhagen, abagibeli bamabhayisikili bonga idolobha amathani angama-90,000 we-CO2 ekhishwa minyaka yonke.

Ekugcineni, kwaba khona isikhathi ekuqaleni kwawo-1900 lapho abantu babevame ukuhlanganyela emigwaqweni nezimoto nezinqola. Kuze kwaba yilapho isibalo sezimoto siqala ukwanda kakhulu lapho kwasungulwa khona imithetho kamasipala evimbela abantu ukuba bahambe emigwaqweni, evimbela ukusebenzisa kwabo imigwaqo mahhala. Uma kubhekwa lo mlando, mhlawumbe izimoto ezizishayelayo zesikhathi esizayo ezithakazelisa kakhulu ezingase zinike amandla kuzoba ukubuyisela emuva enkathini yakudala, lapho izimoto nabantu bezulana ngokuzethemba, babelana ngendawo eyodwa yomphakathi ngaphandle kokukhathazeka ngokuphepha.

Ngeshwa, uma kubhekwa izimfuno ezibanzi zobuchwepheshe nengqalasizinda ezidingekayo kulo mqondo womgwaqo othi Back to the Future, ukuqaliswa kwawo kokuqala okubanzi edolobheni elikhulu cishe kuzofezeka ekuqaleni kwawo-2050s.

Inothi eseceleni mayelana nama-drones emadolobheni ethu

Eminyakeni eyikhulu edlule lapho ihhashi nenqola kubusa emigwaqweni yethu, amadolobha ngokungazelele azithola engakulungele kahle ukufika kwento entsha esunguliwe neya ngokuya ithandwa: imoto. Amakhansela edolobha akuqala ayenolwazi oluncane ngale mishini futhi esaba ukusetshenziswa kwayo ngaphakathi kwezifunda zasemadolobheni ezihlala abantu, ikakhulukazi lapho abasebenzisi bokuqala benza izenzo zokuqala ezirekhodiwe zokushayela bephuzile, ukushayela bephuma emgwaqeni futhi beshayela ezihlahleni nakwezinye izakhiwo. Njengoba ungacabanga, ukugxambukela kwabaningi balaba masipala kwakuwukulawula lezi zimoto njengamahhashi noma, okubi nakakhulu, ukuvinjelwa ngokuphelele.

Yebo, ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, izinzuzo zezimoto zaphumelela, imithetho yedolobha yavuthwa, futhi namuhla imithetho yezokuthutha ivumela ukusetshenziswa okuphephile kwezimoto emadolobheni nasemadolobheni ethu. Namuhla, sibhekene noshintsho olufanayo ngokusungulwa okusha ngokuphelele: ama-drones.

Kuseyizinsuku zakuqala ekuthuthukisweni kwe-drone kodwa inani lentshisekelo kulobu buchwepheshe obuvela ezinkundleni zokuxhumana ezinkulu zanamuhla likhombisa ikusasa elikhulu lama-drones emadolobheni ethu. Ngaphandle kokusetshenziswa okusobala okuhlobene nokulethwa kwephakheji, ngasekupheleni kweminyaka yama-2020, ama-drones azosetshenziswa ngenkuthalo ngamaphoyisa ukuqapha omakhelwane abanezinkinga, ngezinsizakalo eziphuthumayo ukuhlinzeka ngezinsizakalo ezisheshayo, ngabathuthukisi ukuqapha amaphrojekthi wokwakha, ngokungenzi inzuzo. ukudala imibukiso emangalisayo yobuciko basemoyeni, uhlu alupheli.

Kodwa njengezimoto eminyakeni eyikhulu edlule, sizowalawula kanjani ama-drones edolobheni? Bazoba nemikhawulo yesivinini? Ngabe amadolobha kuzofanele adwebe imithetho yedolobha enezinhlangothi ezintathu ezingxenyeni ezithile zedolobha, ezifana nezindawo zezindiza okungafanele zilandelwe? Ingabe kuzofanele sakhe imizila ye-drone emigwaqweni yethu noma izondiza phezu kwemigwaqo yezimoto noma yamabhayisikili? Ngabe bazodinga ukulandela imithetho yethrafikhi yama-streetlight noma bangakwazi ukundiza ngokuthanda kwabo ezimpambanweni zomgwaqo? Ingabe abaqhubi abangabantu bazovunyelwa emikhawulweni yedolobha noma kufanele ama-drones azimele ngokugcwele ukuze agweme izigameko zokundiza bedakiwe? Ngabe kuzofanele silungise kabusha izakhiwo zamahhovisi ethu ngeziphanyeko ze-air drone? Kwenzekani lapho i-drone iphahlazeka noma ibulala othile?

Ohulumeni bamadolobha basekude kakhulu ekutholeni impendulo yanoma yimuphi wale mibuzo kodwa qiniseka ukuthi isibhakabhaka esingaphezu kwamadolobha ethu sizosebenza kakhulu kunalokho esiyikho namuhla.

Imiphumela engahlosiwe

Njengabo bonke ubuchwepheshe obusha, kungakhathaliseki ukuthi bungase bubonakale buqinile futhi bubuhle kanjani kusukela ekuqaleni, ukuhlehla kwabo kuyavela ekugcineni-izimoto ezizishayelayo ngeke zihluke.

Okokuqala, nakuba lobu buchwepheshe buqiniseka ukuthi buzonciphisa isiminyaminya sezimoto isikhathi esiningi sosuku, abanye ochwepheshe bakhomba isimo esizayo lapho ngehora lesihlanu, inqwaba yezisebenzi ezikhathele ibiza izimoto zabo ukuba zibalande, ngaleyo ndlela zidale isiminyaminya. ngesikhathi esithile futhi udale isimo sokuthatha indawo yesikole. Sesikushilo lokho, lesi simo asihlukile kangako esimweni samanje sehora lokugijima ekuseni nantambama, futhi njengoba isikhathi esishintshashintshayo nokwabelana ngemoto kukhula ukuduma, lesi simo ngeke sibe sibi njengoba abanye ochwepheshe bebikezela.

Omunye umphumela wezimoto ezizishayelayo ukuthi zingase zikhuthaze abantu abaningi ukuthi bashayele ngenxa yokwenyuka kwazo kalula, ukufinyeleleka kwazo kanye nokwehla kwezindleko. Lokhu kufana nokuthi "isidingo esidingekile"Isimo lapho ukwanda kobubanzi nenani lemigwaqo kukhuphuka, kunokuba kunciphe, ukuhamba kwezimoto. Lokhu kungahle kwenzeke, yingakho uma ukusetshenziswa kwezimoto ezingashayeli sekufinyelele emngceleni othile, amadolobha azoqala ukukhokhisa abantu abasebenzisa izimoto ezizishayelayo bodwa. esikhundleni sokwabelana ngokugibela nabagibeli abaningi. Lesi silinganiso sizovumela omasipala ukuthi balawule kangcono ithrafikhi ye-AV kamasipala, kuyilapho begwedla namabhokisi edolobha.

Ngokufanayo, kunokukhathazeka ngokuthi njengoba izimoto ezizishayelayo zizokwenza ukushayela kube lula, kungabi nengcindezi futhi kukhiqize kakhudlwana, kungase kukhuthaze abantu ukuthi bahlale ngaphandle kwedolobha, ngaleyo ndlela kwande ukusabalala. Lokhu kukhathazeka kungokoqobo futhi akunakugwenywa. Kodwa-ke, njengoba amadolobha ethu ethuthukisa ukuhlala kwawo emadolobheni emashumini eminyaka ezayo futhi njengoba inkambiso ekhulayo yeminyaka eyinkulungwane nekhulunyaka ekhetha ukuhlala emadolobheni awo iqhubeka, lo mphumela uzolinganiswa ngokuqhathaniswa.

Sekukonke, izimoto ezizishayelayo (kanye nama-drones) kancane kancane zizobumba kabusha isimo sethu sedolobha, zenze amadolobha ethu aphephe, alungele abahamba ngezinyawo futhi aphile. Kodwa nokho, abanye abafundi bangase bakhathazeke ngokufanelekile ngokuthi imiphumela engahlosiwe ebalwe ngenhla ingenza isithembiso salobu buchwepheshe obusha sibe yinhlese. Kulabo bafundi, yazini ukuthi kunombono omusha wenqubomgomo yomphakathi owenza umjikelezo ongabhekana nalokhu kwesaba ngokuphelele. Kuhilela ukufaka esikhundleni sezintela zezakhiwo ngokuthile okungajwayelekile ngokuphelele—futhi kuyisihloko sesahluko esilandelayo sochungechunge lwethu lwe-Future of Cities.