china predictions for 2030
Read 38 predictions about China in 2030, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.
Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.
International relations predictions for China in 2030
International relations predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- Global trade is shifting, not reversing.Link
Politics predictions for China in 2030
Politics related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- Global trade is shifting, not reversing.Link
Government predictions for China in 2030
Government related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
Economy predictions for China in 2030
Economy related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- Up to 220 million workers, or 30 percent of China's total workforce, transition between occupations in response to increasing automation. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- China's labor market demand for physical-manual and basic cognitive skills fall by 18% and 11%, respectively. However, demand for social and emotional, and advanced technological skills rise by 18% and 51%, respectively. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- Rural-urban migrants reach 331 million by this year, up from 291 million in 2019. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- Compared with 2021 levels, three times as many people are enrolled in the education system who need skills development by this year. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The labor market demand for sought after high cognitive skills (such as critical thinking and decision making), social and emotional skills (such as interpersonal skills and leadership), and technical skills (such as advanced data analysis) amount to an additional 236 billion hours beyond what the Chinese labor force can support (i.e., about 40 days per average worker). Likelihood: 60 percent1
Technology predictions for China in 2030
Technology related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- Around 1 million hydrogen energy vehicles are on the road across China. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The Chinese automobile industry's output reaches a market value of USD $70 billion, double 2021's market value, primarily driven by electric vehicle sales. Likelihood: 75 percent1
- The government's investments in the production of semiconductors have reached over USD $150 billion since 2022. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- Robotaxis account for 22% of the shared mobility passenger kilometers in tier 1 cities like Shanghai and Beijing. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- China's Long March-9 rocket makes its first official launch this year, carrying a full payload of 140 tonnes into low-Earth orbit. With this launch, the Long March-9 rocket becomes the world's largest space launch system, significantly reducing the cost of deploying assets into Earth's orbit. Likelihood: 80%1
- China achieves its targets of getting 1 million hydrogen energy vehicles on the road by 2030. Likelihood: 90%1
- Autonomous vehicles (AV) have become commonplace across most of China. (Likelihood 80%)1
Culture predictions for China in 2030
Culture related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
Defense predictions for in 2030
Defense related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- China’s nuclear capabilities double from 2020 levels. Likelihood: 70 percent1
Infrastructure predictions for China in 2030
Infrastructure related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- Natural gas now makes up approximately 15% of the country's energy mix. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- China's total wind and solar capacity has grown to at least 1,200 gigawatts compared to 2021 levels with 306 gigawatts solar power capacity and 328 gigawatts wind capacity. Likelihood: 80 percent1
- China hosts more than a fifth of the world’s offshore wind turbines, equaling to 52 gigawatts. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- Green hydrogen starts to become commercially competitive in China. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The government requires regional grid firms to buy at least 40% of their power from non-fossil sources. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- The fastest train ever built in China, with a top speed of 600 kilometers per hour, becomes operational, cutting travel between Beijing and Shanghai from 5 hours to 2.5 hours. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The railway connecting the Tibetan capital Lhasa with Sichuan province's Chengdu is completed. Likelihood: 65 percent1
- China's annual hydrogen demand reaches 35 million tons, accounting for at least 5% of the country's terminal energy system. Likelihood: 75 percent1
- Hydrogen consumption in transportation, such as fuel cell commercial vehicles and ships, increases by 40% from 2021 levels. Likelihood: 75 percent1
- The construction of the first commercial nuclear reactor (using thorium as fuel) in the Gansu province is completed. Likelihood: 85 percent1
Environment predictions for China in 2030
Environment related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- As of this year, all public transport buses operating in China's cities have been converted or replaced to become fully electric vehicles. Buses that operate between cities have been converted to hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles. Likelihood: 70%1
- Carbon dioxide emissions in China peak this year. Likelihood: 80%1
Science predictions for China in 2030
Science related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
- China conducts a lunar north and south pole survey, launches the Long March 9 super heavy lifter, and conducts a 1-megawatt space-based solar power (SBSP) demonstration in geostationary orbit. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The International Lunar Research Station, a project jointly launched by Beijing and Moscow to build a permanent settlement on the moon, is completed. Likelihood: 50 percent1
Health predictions for China in 2030
Health related predictions to impact China in 2030 include:
More predictions from 2030
Read the top global predictions from 2030 - click here
Next scheduled update for this resource page
January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.
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