japan predictions for 2040

Read 16 predictions about Japan in 2040, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for Japan in 2040

International relations predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

Politics predictions for Japan in 2040

Politics related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

Government predictions for Japan in 2040

Government related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • The costs of pensions, health care coverage, and insurance fees funded by the Japanese government increase to around ¥190 trillion yet this year, up from an annual ¥121.3 trillion ($1.11 trillion) in fiscal 2018. Likelihood: 90%1

Economy predictions for Japan in 2040

Economy related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • The Japanese workforce decreases to 52.45 million this year, down from 65.3 million in 2017. Likelihood: 80%1
  • Japanese medical and welfare sector workforce increases by 1.03 million by this year compared to 2017, reflecting the country’s aging society. Likelihood: 75%1
  • The Japanese manufacturing workforce drops by 2.06 million by this year compared to 2017 numbers. Likelihood: 75%1
  • The Japanese mining and construction workforce drops by 2.21 million by this year compared to 2017 numbers. Likelihood: 75%1
  • Japanese wholesale and retail sector workforce drops by 2.87 million by this year compared to 2017 numbers. Likelihood: 75%1

Technology predictions for Japan in 2040

Technology related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

Culture predictions for Japan in 2040

Culture related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • The number of male workers in Japan falls by 7.11 million by this year compared to 2017 levels. Likelihood: 80%1
  • The number of female workers in Japan falls by 5.75 million by this year compared to 2017 levels. Likelihood: 80%1
  • The number of single-person households in Japan increases to 19.94 million this year, up from 18.42 million in 2015. Likelihood: 80%1

Defense predictions for in 2040

Defense related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

Infrastructure predictions for Japan in 2040

Infrastructure related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • Japanese offshore wind power offers 45 gigawatts of capacity by this year. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • The government and private companies develop intercontinental passenger spaceships that can fly between the world's major cities in two hours or less through rocket technology. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • The market for spaceships departing from and arriving in Japan reaches roughly USD $46 billion. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • The total number of households in Japan falls to 50.75 million this year, down from 53.33 million in 2015. Likelihood: 80%1

Environment predictions for Japan in 2040

Environment related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

Science predictions for Japan in 2040

Science related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • Production of the successor to the H3 rocket costs 10% lower from 2030 levels. Likelihood: 60 percent1

Health predictions for Japan in 2040

Health related predictions to impact Japan in 2040 include:

  • In Japan, nationwide nursing care benefit costs increase to ¥25.8 trillion yen this year, up from ¥10.7 trillion in fiscal 2018. Likelihood: 90%1
  • In Japan, nationwide medical care benefit costs increase to ¥68.5 trillion yen this year, up from ¥39.2 trillion in fiscal 2018. Likelihood: 90%1

More predictions from 2040

Read the top global predictions from 2040 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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