New Zealand predictions for 2040

Read 18 predictions about New Zealand in 2040, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for New Zealand in 2040

International relations predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

Politics predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Politics related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

Government predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Government related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • The government raises super-annuation eligibility age from 65 to 67 from this year. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Govt superannuation age to rise to 67 in 2040.Link

Economy predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Economy related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • Fewer than half of 65-year-old retirees own their own homes. Twenty years ago, most Kiwis retired owning a home. Likelihood: 80%1
  • 'It's a very bad outlook': Half of those turning 65 in 2040 will have to rent.Link

Technology predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Technology related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

Culture predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Culture related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • Kiwi landlines become extinct this year. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Utilities experts: Kiwi landlines will be extinct by 2040.Link

Defense predictions for in 2040

Defense related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

Infrastructure predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Infrastructure related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • Wellington Airport completes its infrastructure expansion this year to accommodate 12 million people who now use the airport annually, almost double the annual figure of 6.4 million in 2019. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Wellington Airport reveals $1 billion-plus development plans in 2040 master plan.Link

Environment predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Environment related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • Some areas in Wellington and Auckland see a 30-centimeter sea-level rise by this year. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • Ninety percent of New Zealand rivers and lakes are 'swimmable' now compared to 72 percent in 2017. Likelihood: 100%1
  • From this year, drivers in New Zealand will be able to buy electric vehicles only. Likelihood: 100%1
  • New Zealand's air temperature increases by 0.7 - 1 degree Celsius this year compared to 2018 levels. Likelihood: 100%1
  • The Ruapehu region becomes waste-free this year. Likelihood: 70%1
  • Ruapehu aims to be waste-free by 2040, Taumarunui cleanfill site to be developed.Link
  • Government announces zero carbon bill details for fighting climate change.Link
  • New government target to see 90 per cent of rivers and lakes 'swimmable' by 2040.Link

Science predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Science related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

Health predictions for New Zealand in 2040

Health related predictions to impact New Zealand in 2040 include:

  • New Zealand ranks 17th this year in countries with the highest life expectancy, 83.8 years, gaining one place compared with Kiwis born in 2016 who had an average life span of 81.5 years. Likelihood: 90%1
  • How healthy will Kiwis be in 2040? Table reveals average lifespans per country.Link

More predictions from 2040

Read the top global predictions from 2040 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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