South Africa predictions for 2030

Read 15 predictions about South Africa in 2030, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for South Africa in 2030

International relations predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

Politics predictions for South Africa in 2030

Politics related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

Government predictions for South Africa in 2030

Government related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

Economy predictions for South Africa in 2030

Economy related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

  • With a progressive increase in the carbon tax, South Africa doubles its share of renewable energy. Likelihood: 60 percent1
  • This year, South Africa’s Debt to GDP has increased to 80%. Likelihood: 75%1
  • Since 2019, digitization and automation advancements have added 1.2 million jobs in South Africa. Likelihood: 80%1
  • The number of people living in poverty in South Africa has more than halved to 4 million, compared to almost 10.5 million in 2017. Likelihood: 75%1
  • This year, the unemployment rate has been reduced to 16% compared to 29.1% in 2020. Likelihood: 50%1

Technology predictions for South Africa in 2030

Technology related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

  • South Africa's new super radio telescope, the SKA, is fully operational. Likelihood: 70%1

Culture predictions for South Africa in 2030

Culture related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

  • More than 70% of South Africa’s population now live in urban areas. Likelihood: 75%1

Defense predictions for in 2030

Defense related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

Infrastructure predictions for South Africa in 2030

Infrastructure related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

  • This year, South Africa has run out of fresh water and now entirely dependent on imported water and water from desalination plants. Likelihood: 30%1
  • The deficit between the supply of drinking water and the demand by South Africa's population has reached 17% this year. In other words, South Africa faces a deficit of about 3,000 billion liters of water per year. Likelihood: 30%1
  • Since 2019, the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) has invested over 1 trillion rand to build new power plants and transmission and distribution infrastructure, all to accommodate South Africa's booming energy needs. Likelihood: 80%1
  • Since 2020, South Africa has allocated 8.1GW of national energy capacity to new wind power installations. Likelihood: 70%1

Environment predictions for South Africa in 2030

Environment related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

  • Under the RCP8.5 scenario (the concentration of carbon is at an average of 8.5 watts per square meter across the planet), warming increases by 0.5-1 °C at most locations compared to 2017 levels, reaching values as high as 2°C over parts of the western interior of South Africa. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Climate change generally could have a minor impact on water stress in South Africa. Likelihood: 50 percent1
  • Coal’s contribution to the national energy grid drops to 58.8% compared to 88% in 2017. Likelihood: 70%1
  • From this year onward, South Africa will not build any new coal power plants. Likelihood: 50%1

Science predictions for South Africa in 2030

Science related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

Health predictions for South Africa in 2030

Health related predictions to impact South Africa in 2030 include:

More predictions from 2030

Read the top global predictions from 2030 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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