United States predictions for 2024

Read 26 predictions about the United States in 2024, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.

Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.

International relations predictions for the United States in 2024

International relations predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

Politics predictions for the United States in 2024

Politics related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • The US resettles up to 50,000 refugees from Latin America and the Caribbean. Likelihood: 60 percent.1
  • AI takes center stage during the US election campaign, from deepfakes to weaponized information to drafting fundraising emails. Likelihood: 80 percent.1

Government predictions for the United States in 2024

Government related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

Economy predictions for the United States in 2024

Economy related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • The Fed continues to hike up interest rates as consumer spending rises despite high inflation. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • This year, the five least affordable cities comprise San Diego, Los Angeles, Honolulu, Miami, and Santa Barbara. Likelihood: 80 percent.1
  • US oil output will overtake OPEC’s by 2024, thanks to fracking.Link

Technology predictions for the United States in 2024

Technology related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • Accessible commercial space travel using hot-air balloons to the edge of the Earth becomes available this year. Likelihood: 80 percent 1
  • NASA aims to put first woman on the moon by 2024.Link
  • Another giant leap: U.S. plans to send astronauts back to the moon by 2024.Link

Culture predictions for the United States in 2024

Culture related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • The US, Japan, India, and China host Formula E, the world's first motorsport for electric vehicles. Likelihood: 80 percent.1

Defense predictions for in 2024

Defense related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • The US conducts over 500 bilateral military engagements with the Philippines. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • India buys 31 MQ-9B drones from the US with an estimated cost of USD $3 billion. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The Navy buys 10 Large Unmanned Surface Vessels and 9 Extra Large Unmanned Undersea Vehicles for USD $4 billion.  Likelihood: 65 percent1
  • All US Navy vessels from cruisers to carriers now fire next-generation hypervelocity projectiles (HVP)—these are Mach 3 shells that can fire up to three times as far as conventional ship gun ammo; they can also intercept incoming anti-ship missiles. Likelihood: 80%1

Infrastructure predictions for the United States in 2024

Infrastructure related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • Vietnam's first domestic automaker, VinFast, builds its first electric vehicle production facility in North Carolina. Likelihood: 60 percent.1
  • Honda begins its US production of fuel electric vehicles, targeting 500,000 vehicles yearly. Likelihood: 40 percent.1
  • The number of new apartment constructions drop to 408,000 units from 484,000 in 2024. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • An additional 170 gigawatts of renewable energy capacity becomes available. Likelihood: 80 percent1
  • The costs for installing battery storage falls low enough for the technology to become widespread. Likelihood: 70 percent1
  • Since 2018, roughly 35 GW of coal-fired electricity capacity has been retired and replaced by natural gas and renewables. Likelihood: 80%1

Environment predictions for the United States in 2024

Environment related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • Winter temperatures are warmer than usual in the North and West due to the persistent El Nino phenomenon. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
  • The April 2024, 139-minute, total solar eclipse plunges into darkness parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, tiny slivers of Tennessee and Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. Likelihood: 70 percent.1

Science predictions for the United States in 2024

Science related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

  • US astronauts return to the Moon. Likelihood: 70 percent1
  • A cross-country, total solar eclipse will occur this year, starting on April 8th. Likelihood: 100%1
  • Between 2024 and 2026, NASA’s first crewed mission to the moon will safely be completed, marking the first crewed mission to the moon in decades. It will also include the first female astronaut to step on the moon as well. Likelihood: 70%1
  • NASA aims to put first woman on the moon by 2024.Link
  • Another giant leap: U.S. plans to send astronauts back to the moon by 2024.Link

Health predictions for the United States in 2024

Health related predictions to impact the United States in 2024 include:

More predictions from 2024

Read the top global predictions from 2024 - click here

Next scheduled update for this resource page

January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.

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