wānana pāʻoihana no 2024 | Ka wā e hiki mai ana
heluhelu mai o nā wānana pāʻoihana no 2024, he makahiki e ʻike ai i ka hoʻololi ʻana o ka honua ʻoihana i nā ala e hoʻopilikia ai i nā ʻāpana ākea - a ke ʻimi nei mākou i nā mea he nui ma lalo.
Quantumrun Foresight hoʻomākaukau i kēia papa inoa; He ʻoihana kūkākūkā futurist e hoʻohana ana i ka noʻonoʻo hoʻolālā e kōkua i nā ʻoihana e holomua mai nā ʻano e hiki mai ana. ʻO kēia wale nō kekahi o nā mea e hiki mai ana e ʻike ʻia e ke kaiāulu.
nā wānana ʻoihana no 2024
- Manaʻo ʻo OPEC i ka piʻi ʻana o ka noi aila honua o 2.2 miliona barela i kēlā me kēia lā (bpd). Likelike: 65 pakeneka.1
- Manaʻo ʻo IEA e hoʻolōʻihi i ka noi honua no ka aila ma 900,000 barela i kēlā me kēia lā (bpd) mai 990,000 i 2023. Likelihood: 65 pakeneka.1
- Hoʻōla hou ka ʻoihana mokulele mai ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa COVID-19. Likelike: 85 pakeneka.1
- Hoʻonui ka hana honua o ka ʻōpae mahiʻai i ka 4.8 pakeneka. Likelike: 65 pakeneka.1
- Ua piʻi hou ka kūʻai ʻana o nā chip kamepiula honua i ka ulu ʻana he 12 pakeneka. Likelike: 70 pakeneka.1
- ʻO ka hapalua o nā hui kūleʻa ma Asia-Pākīpika e hōʻike nui i kā lākou kapuaʻi kalapona. Likelike: 70 pakeneka.1
- Hoʻonui ka lawe ʻana mai o ka honua i ka LNG e 16%. Likelike: 80 pakeneka.1
- Hoʻi hou nā mokulele o ka Middle East i nā pae pre-pandemic. Likelike: 80 pakeneka.1
- Hoʻomaka ka mea hana kaʻa kaʻa Suedena ʻo Scania a me H2 Green Steel e hana i nā kaʻa me ke kila fossil-free ma mua o ka hoʻoneʻe ʻana i ka hana holoʻokoʻa i ke kila ʻōmaʻomaʻo ma 2027–2028. Likelike: 70 pakeneka1
Forecast
I ka makahiki 2024, e loaʻa i ka lehulehu ka nui o nā holomua ʻoihana a me nā ʻano, no ka laʻana:
- ʻO ʻAmelika i kēia manawa ka mea hoʻopuka nui loa o ka honua i ke kinoea kūlohelohe wai (LNG). Hiki paha: 70% 1
- Mahalo i ka ʻenehana fracking, ʻoi aku ka ʻaila o ka US i ka OPEC i kēia makahiki. Hiki paha: 80% 1
- Ma luna o 50 pākēneka o ka hui ʻo Canada e hoʻohana nei i nā lawelawe lawelawe kānāwai ʻē aʻe no ke kākoʻo hoʻokolokolo. Hiki paha: 80% 1
ka olelo wanana a
ʻO nā wānana e pili ana i ka ʻoihana ma muli o ka hopena i 2024 ka:
E ʻike i nā ʻano mai kekahi makahiki e hiki mai ana me nā pihi manawa ma lalo
