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Europe; Kukula kwa maulamuliro ankhanza: Geopolitics of Climate Change

David Tal, Wofalitsa, Futurist
@DavidTalWrites
LinkedIn

Lachiwiri, 09/15/2020 - 11:47

Kuneneratu kopanda bwino kumeneku kudzayang'ana pa geopolitics ya ku Ulaya monga momwe ikukhudzana ndi kusintha kwa nyengo pakati pa 2040 ndi 2050. Pamene mukuwerenga, mudzawona Ulaya yomwe ili yolemala chifukwa cha kusowa kwa chakudya komanso zipolowe zomwe zafalikira. Mudzawona ku Ulaya komwe UK ikutuluka mu European Union kwathunthu, pamene mayiko ena onse omwe akutenga nawo mbali akugwadira kukula kwa chikoka cha Russia. Ndipo muwonanso ku Europe komwe mayiko ake ambiri amagwera m'manja mwa maboma okonda kwambiri mayiko omwe amayang'ana mamiliyoni ambiri othawa kwawo omwe akuthawira ku Europe kuchokera ku Africa ndi Middle East.

Koma, tisanayambe, tiyeni tifotokoze momveka bwino zinthu zingapo. Chithunzi ichi - tsogolo lazandale ku Europe - silinafotokozedwe bwino. Chilichonse chomwe mukufuna kuwerenga chimachokera ku ntchito zolosera zaboma zomwe zikupezeka poyera kuchokera ku United States ndi United Kingdom, kuchokera kumagulu oganiza achinsinsi komanso ogwirizana ndi boma, komanso ntchito za atolankhani ngati Gywnne Dyer, wolemba wamkulu pankhaniyi. Maulalo kuzinthu zambiri zogwiritsidwa ntchito alembedwa kumapeto.

Kuphatikiza apo, chithunzithunzichi chimakhazikitsidwanso pamalingaliro awa:

Ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi zomwe boma likuchita pofuna kuchepetsa kapena kusintha kusintha kwanyengo sizikhala zapakati mpaka kulibe.
Palibe kuyesa kwa mapulaneti a geoengineering omwe akuchitidwa.
Zochita za dzuwa za dzuwa sichigwera pansi mmene lilili panopa, motero kuchepetsa kutentha kwa dziko.
Palibe zopambana zomwe zimapangidwira mu mphamvu ya fusion, ndipo palibe ndalama zazikulu zomwe zimapangidwira padziko lonse lapansi pakuchotsa mchere wamchere ndi zomangamanga zaulimi.
Pofika chaka cha 2040, kusintha kwanyengo kudzakhala kwapita patsogolo mpaka pomwe mpweya wowonjezera kutentha (GHG) mumlengalenga umaposa magawo 450 pa miliyoni.
Mumawerenga mawu athu oyambira pakusintha kwanyengo ndi zotsatira zoyipa zomwe zingakhudze madzi athu akumwa, ulimi, mizinda ya m'mphepete mwa nyanja, ndi zomera ndi zinyama ngati palibe chomwe chingachitike.

Poganizira izi, chonde werengani maulosi otsatirawa ndi maganizo omasuka.

Chakudya ndi nthano ya maiko awiri aku Europe

Chimodzi mwazovuta zazikulu zomwe kusintha kwanyengo kudzadzetsa ku Europe kumapeto kwa 2040s kukhala chitetezo cha chakudya. Kukwera kwa kutentha kupangitsa kuti madera ambiri akumwera kwa Europe kutaya malo ake olima (olima) chifukwa cha kutentha kwambiri. Makamaka, mayiko akuluakulu akumwera monga Spain ndi Italy, komanso mayiko ang'onoang'ono akum'mawa monga Montenegro, Serbia, Bulgaria, Albania, Macedonia, ndi Greece, onse adzakumana ndi kutentha kwakukulu, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti ulimi wachikhalidwe ukhale wovuta kwambiri.

Ngakhale kupezeka kwa madzi sikudzakhala vuto lalikulu ku Ulaya monga momwe zidzakhalire ku Africa ndi Middle East, kutentha kwakukulu kudzalepheretsa kumera kwa mbewu zambiri za ku Ulaya.

Mwachitsanzo, maphunziro oyendetsedwa ndi University of Reading pa mitundu iwiri ya mpunga yomwe imabzalidwa kwambiri, ku lowland indica, ndi upland japonica, anapeza kuti zonsezo zinali pachiopsezo chachikulu cha kutentha kwapamwamba. Makamaka, ngati kutentha kupitilira madigiri 35 Celsius pa nthawi ya maluwa, mbewuzo zitha kukhala zosabala, zosabala mbewu zochepa. Mayiko ambiri otentha ndi a ku Asia kumene mpunga uli chakudya chachikulu chomwe chili m’mphepete mwa madera otentha a Goldilocks, kotero kuti kutentha kwina kulikonse kungabweretse tsoka. Kuopsa komweku kuliponso ku mbewu zambiri za ku Ulaya monga tirigu ndi chimanga kutentha kukakwera kupyola madera awo a Goldilocks.