china predictions for 2025
Read 44 predictions about China in 2025, a year that will see this country experience significant change in its politics, economics, technology, culture, and environment. It’s your future, discover what you’re in for.
Quantumrun Foresight prepared this list; A trend intelligence consulting firm that uses strategic foresight to help companies thrive from future trends in foresight. This is just one of many possible futures society may experience.
International relations predictions for China in 2025
International relations predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- From this year onward, China deepens its partnership with Russia by assisting in the expansion of Russian arctic ports that enable the navigability of the Northern Sea Route for shipping routes. This initiative is a part of Russia's Polar Silk Road. Likelihood: 70%1
Politics predictions for China in 2025
Politics related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
Government predictions for China in 2025
Government related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- China sets a minimum size for new oil refineries and bans small crude processors that claim to be chemicals or bitumen producers under its plan to limit total capacity to 1 billion metric tons. Likelihood: 70 percent.1
Economy predictions for China in 2025
Economy related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- China needs new places to sell its mountain of stuff.Link
- Exclusive | ‘made in china 2025’: a peek at the robot revolution under way in the hub of the ‘world’s factory’.Link
- Why made in china 2025 will succeed, despite trump.Link
- Made in China 2025: Beijing's manufacturing blueprint and why the world is concerned.Link
Technology predictions for China in 2025
Technology related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- China mass produces advanced humanoid robots, targeting 500 robots per 10,000 workers. Likelihood: 65 percent.1
- Demand for industrial robots and mobile robots in the lithium battery industry exceeds 67,000 units and 25,000 units, respectively, since 2021. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- Ride-sharing app Didi starts hosting 1 million robotaxis (self-driving electric vehicles) on its platform. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- China achieves 70% self-sufficiency in semiconductors under the Made in China 2025 Plan. Likelihood: 50 percent1
- National 5G adoption reaches 56%. Likelihood: 80 percent1
- Online retail value reaches USD $2.3 trillion. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- China becomes a leading manufacturer of global factory robots. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- About 50,000 hydrogen energy vehicles are on the roads across China. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The Chinese Navy now operates four aircraft carriers (five by 2030) in a bid to become the largest fleet in the world. Likelihood: 65 percent1
- China builds a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier by this year. Likelihood: 70%1
- China weans the country off foreign internet and cyberspace through a 'made in China' technology to 'shore up its national security,' but also to better manage the domestic consumption of online media and social media. Likelihood: 70%1
- China launches Enhanced X-ray Timing and Polarimetry (eXTP), a $440-million X-ray telescope led by the China National Space Administration this year. Likelihood: 75%1
- China achieves its targets of getting 50,000 hydrogen energy vehicles on the road by 2025. Likelihood: 80%1
- Chinese firms making industrial robots make up 70 percent of the global market in 2025. Likelihood: 100%1
- Annual sales volumes for electric vehicles increases to more than 5 million in 2025. Likelihood: 90%1
- Factbox: Made in China 2025: Beijing's big ambitions from robots to chips.Link
Culture predictions for China in 2025
Culture related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- Chinese retirees grow to number 300 million and the elderly economy is worth USD $750 billion. Likelihood: 80 percent1
- China's population starts to decline. Likelihood: 60 percent1
- The Chinese population shrinks by 1 million annually and enters a normalized phase of decline. Likelihood: 85 percent1
- Between 2025 to 2030, the Chinese government will invests in a nationwide promotional campaign and range of subsidies and reforms to address the growing dissatisfaction among younger generations (born in the 1980s and 90s) who are experiencing alienation caused by factors such as a lack of social mobility, sky rocketing house prices, and the difficulty of finding a spouse. This is an effort to promote social harmony. Likelihood: 60%1
- Due to China's intensive urbanization efforts, over one billion people live in China's cities as of this year. Likelihood: 70%1
Defense predictions for in 2025
Defense related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- The Chinese Navy now comprises 420 ships (and 460 by 2030), making it the largest battle fleet in the world. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- 25 submarines with advanced anti-ship cruise missiles become operational. Likelihood: 70 percent1
- The Chinese Navy's first railguns are deployed; these weapons use high-powered electric circuits to shoot a projectile along magnetic rails at hypersonic speeds. Likelihood: 70 percent1
Infrastructure predictions for China in 2025
Infrastructure related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- SAIC, a state-owned automaker, starts producing 10,000 fuel cell vehicles a year. Likelihood: 65 percent1
- The output value of China's hydrogen energy industry reaches USD $152.6 billion annually. Likelihood: 75 percent1
- Beijing adds 37 new hydrogenation stations and builds a hydrogen energy industrial chain in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration region worth more than USD $13.9 billion. Likelihood: 65 percent1
- China expands its hydrogen refueling stations from 100 in 2021 to 1,000 by this year. Likelihood: 65 percent1
- China produces 100,000-200,000 metric tonnes of green hydrogen annually, along with 50,000 hydrogen fuel cell vehicles annually. Likelihood: 65 percent1
Environment predictions for China in 2025
Environment related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
Science predictions for China in 2025
Science related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
- China launches a 100-kilowatt space-based solar power (SBSP) demonstration at low Earth orbit to facilitate renewable energy production. Likelihood: 60 percent1
Health predictions for China in 2025
Health related predictions to impact China in 2025 include:
More predictions from 2025
Read the top global predictions from 2025 - click here
Next scheduled update for this resource page
January 7, 2022. Last updated January 7, 2020.
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