Momwe Generation Z idzasinthire dziko: Tsogolo la Chiwerengero cha Anthu P3

ZITHUNZI CREDIT: Quantumrun

Momwe Generation Z idzasinthire dziko: Tsogolo la Chiwerengero cha Anthu P3

    Kulankhula za zaka zana ndizovuta. Pofika m'chaka cha 2016, akadali kubadwa, ndipo akadali aang'ono kwambiri kuti akhazikitse bwino maganizo awo a chikhalidwe, zachuma ndi ndale. Koma pogwiritsa ntchito njira zolosera zam'tsogolo, tili ndi lingaliro la dziko la Centennials latsala pang'ono kukula.

    Ndi dziko limene lidzasintha mbiri ndi kusintha tanthauzo la kukhala munthu. Ndipo monga mwatsala pang'ono kuwona, Centennials adzakhala m'badwo wabwino kwambiri wotsogolera anthu mu nthawi yatsopanoyi.

    Centennials: M'badwo wamabizinesi

    Obadwa pakati pa ~ 2000 ndi 2020, ndipo makamaka ana a Gen Xers, achinyamata azaka za m'ma 25.9 posachedwapa adzakhala gulu lalikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Iwo akuyimira kale 2016 peresenti ya anthu aku US (1.3), 2020 biliyoni padziko lonse lapansi; ndipo pofika nthawi yomwe gulu lawo lidzatha pofika 1.6, adzayimira pakati pa anthu 2 mpaka XNUMX biliyoni padziko lonse lapansi.

    Amafotokozedwa ngati mbadwa zenizeni za digito popeza sanadziwepo dziko lopanda intaneti. Pamene tikukambilana, tsogolo lawo lonse (ngakhale ubongo wawo) likulumikizidwa kuti ligwirizane ndi dziko lolumikizana komanso lovuta. M'badwo uno ndi wanzeru, wokhwima, wochita bizinesi, ndipo uli ndi chilimbikitso cholimbikitsa dziko lapansi. Koma kodi nchiyani chinayambitsa mkhalidwe wachibadwa umenewu kukhala wakhalidwe labwino?

    Zochitika zomwe zidasintha malingaliro a Centennial

    Mosiyana ndi a Gen Xers ndi zaka chikwi patsogolo pawo, zaka 2016 (kuyambira 10) sanakumanepo ndi chochitika chimodzi chachikulu chomwe chasintha dziko lapansi, makamaka pazaka zawo zakubadwa zapakati pa 20 mpaka 9. Ambiri anali aang'ono kwambiri kuti amvetsetse kapena sanabadwe pazochitika za 11/2010, nkhondo za Afghanistan ndi Iraq, mpaka ku XNUMX Arab Spring.

    Komabe, ngakhale geopolitics mwina sanachite nawo gawo lalikulu m'malingaliro awo, kuwona momwe mavuto azachuma a 2008-9 adakhudzira makolo awo chinali chodabwitsa choyamba pamakina awo. Kugawana nawo m'mavuto omwe achibale awo adakumana nawo kunawaphunzitsa maphunziro achichepere a kudzichepetsa, pomwe adawaphunzitsanso kuti ntchito yachikhalidwe si chitsimikizo chotsimikizirika cha ndalama. Ichi ndichifukwa chake peresenti 61 azaka zana zaku US amalimbikitsidwa kukhala amalonda osati antchito.

    Pakali pano, pankhani za chikhalidwe cha anthu, centennials akukula mu nthawi ndithu patsogolo monga zikukhudzana ndi kukula kuvomerezeka kwa ukwati wa amuna kapena akazi okhaokha, kuwuka kwa kulondola kwambiri ndale, kuwonjezeka kuzindikira za nkhanza apolisi, etc. Kwa centennials anabadwira ku North America ndi Ku Europe, ambiri akukula ndi malingaliro ovomerezeka kwambiri a ufulu wa LGBTQ, komanso chidwi chochulukirapo pakufanana pakati pa amuna ndi akazi komanso ubale wamafuko, komanso malingaliro ochulukirapo okhudza kuletsa mankhwala osokoneza bongo. Pakadali pano, peresenti 50 zaka 2000 zimadziwika kuti ndi azikhalidwe zosiyanasiyana kuposa momwe achinyamata adachitira mu XNUMX.

    Ponena za chinthu chodziwikiratu chomwe chapanga malingaliro azaka zana - intaneti - zaka mazana ambiri amakhala ndi malingaliro odekha modabwitsa kuposa zaka chikwi. Ngakhale ukonde unkayimira chidole chatsopano komanso chonyezimira chazaka chikwi kuti chiziyang'anitsitsa m'zaka za m'ma 20, kwa zaka mazana ambiri, ukonde suli wosiyana ndi mpweya umene timapuma kapena madzi omwe timamwa, ofunikira kuti apulumuke koma osati zomwe amawona kuti zikusintha. . M'malo mwake, mwayi wopezeka pa intaneti wazaka 77 wakhazikika mpaka 12 peresenti ya azaka zapakati pa 17 mpaka XNUMX tsopano ali ndi foni yam'manja.2015).

    Intaneti ndi mbali ya iwo mwachibadwa moti imakhudza maganizo awo pamlingo wa minyewa. Asayansi apeza zotsatira za kukula ndi intaneti zachepetsa chidwi cha achinyamata lero mpaka masekondi 8, poyerekeza ndi masekondi 12 mu 2000. Komanso, ubongo wa zaka zana ndi zosiyana. Malingaliro awo akukhala osathanso kufufuza mitu yovuta ndi kuloweza deta yochuluka (mwachitsanzo, machitidwe omwe makompyuta ali abwinoko), pamene akukhala odziwa kwambiri kusintha pakati pa mitu yambiri ndi zochitika zosiyanasiyana, ndi kuganiza mopanda mzere (mwachitsanzo, makhalidwe okhudzana ndi malingaliro osamveka makompyuta akulimbana nawo panopa).

    Pomaliza, popeza zaka 2020 zikubadwabe mpaka XNUMX, achinyamata awo apano ndi amtsogolo adzakhudzidwanso kwambiri ndi kutulutsidwa komwe kukubwera kwa magalimoto odziyimira pawokha komanso zida zamsika zazikulu za Virtual and Augmented Reality (VR/AR). 

    Mwachitsanzo, chifukwa cha magalimoto odziyimira pawokha, Centennials adzakhala woyamba, m'badwo wamakono osafunikiranso kuphunzira kuyendetsa. Kuphatikiza apo, oyendetsa odziyimira pawokha awa adzayimira gawo latsopano laufulu ndi ufulu, kutanthauza kuti Centennials sadzadaliranso makolo awo kapena abale awo akulu kuti awayendetse. Dziwani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Maulendo zino.

    Ponena za zida za VR ndi AR, tisanthula izi kumapeto kwa mutu uno.

    Chikhulupiriro cha Zaka XNUMX

    Zikafika pazikhalidwe, zaka XNUMX zimakhala zomasuka mwachibadwa pankhani yazachikhalidwe, monga tafotokozera pamwambapa. Koma zikhoza kudabwitsa ambiri kudziwa kuti m'njira zina m'badwo uno nawonso modabwitsa ndiwosamala komanso amakhalidwe abwino poyerekeza millennials ndi Gen Xers pamene anali aang'ono. The biennial Kafukufuku wa Youth Risk Behaviour Surveillance System zomwe bungwe la US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention linachita pa achinyamata a ku US linapeza kuti poyerekeza ndi achinyamata mu 1991, achinyamata amakono ndi awa: 

    • 43 peresenti yocheperako kusuta;
    • 34 peresenti amakhala ocheperako kumwa mopambanitsa ndipo 19 peresenti amakhala ocheperapo kukhala asanamwepo; komanso
    • 45 peresenti yocheperako yogonana asanakwanitse zaka 13.

    Mfundo yomalizirayi yathandizanso kuti atsikana amene ali ndi pakati achepe ndi 56 pa 1991 alionse poyerekeza ndi mu 92. Zofufuza zina zasonyeza kuti anthu azaka 76 sachita ndewu kusukulu, amavala malamba (XNUMX peresenti), ndipo amakhala ndi nkhawa kwambiri. za chilengedwe chathu chonse (XNUMX peresenti). Choyipa cha m'badwo uno ndikuti iwo amakonda kunenepa kwambiri.

    Ponseponse, chizoloŵezi chotsutsa chiwopsezo ichi chadzetsa kuzindikira kwatsopano za m'badwo uno: Kumene Zakachikwi nthawi zambiri zimadziwika kuti zili ndi chiyembekezo, zaka 2008 zimakhala zenizeni. Monga tanena kale, adakula akuwona mabanja awo akuvutikira kuti abwerere kumavuto azachuma a 9-XNUMX. Zotsatira zake, zaka zana zatero chikhulupiriro chochepa kwambiri mu American Dream (ndi zina zotero) kuposa mibadwo yam'mbuyo. Kuchokera mu zenizeni izi, zaka zana zimatsogozedwa ndi kudziyimira pawokha komanso kudziwongolera, mikhalidwe yomwe imasewera muzokonda zawo zamabizinesi. 

    Phindu lina lazaka zana lomwe lingakhale lotsitsimula kwa owerenga ena ndilokonda kwawo kuyanjana pakati pawo pakulankhulana kwa digito. Apanso, popeza akukula okhazikika m'dziko la digito, ndi moyo weniweni womwe umakhala wotsitsimula kwa iwo (kachiwiri, kusinthika kwa malingaliro azaka chikwi). Poganizira zokonda izi, ndizosangalatsa kuwona kuti kafukufuku wakale wam'badwo uno akuwonetsa kuti: 

    • 66 peresenti amati amakonda kucheza ndi anzawo pamasom’pamaso;
    • 43 peresenti amakonda kukagula zinthu m’mashopu apakale a njerwa ndi matope; kuyelekeza ndi
    • 38 peresenti amakonda kugula zinthu pa intaneti.

    Chitukuko chaposachedwa chazaka zana ndikuzindikira kwawo komwe kumayenderana ndi digito. Mwina poyankha mavumbulutso a Snowden, zaka XNUMX zawonetsa kukhazikitsidwa kosiyana ndi zokonda zolumikizirana zosadziwika bwino, monga Snapchat, komanso kudana ndi kujambulidwa mumikhalidwe yosokoneza. Zikuwoneka kuti zachinsinsi komanso kusadziwika zikukhala zofunika kwambiri pa 'm'badwo wa digito' akamakula kukhala achinyamata.

    Tsogolo lazachuma la Centennials ndi momwe amakhudzira zachuma

    Popeza kuchuluka kwa zaka XNUMX akadali aang'ono kwambiri kuti asalowe mumsika wantchito, zotsatira zake zonse pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi ndizovuta kuneneratu. Izi zati, titha kunena kuti:

    Choyamba, zaka 2020 zidzayamba kulowa mumsika wantchito ndi kuchuluka kwakukulu pakati pa 2030s ndipo alowa zaka zawo zopezera ndalama pofika 2025s. Izi zikutanthauza kuti ndalama zomwe anthu azaka XNUMX akugwiritsa ntchito pazachuma zidzangokulirakulirabe pakatha chaka cha XNUMX. Mpaka nthawiyo, mtengo wawo udzakhala wokhazikika kwa ogulitsa zinthu zotsika mtengo, ndipo amangokhala ndi chikoka pazachuma chonse chapakhomo potengera zosankha zogula. kwa makolo awo a Gen X.

    Izi zati, ngakhale 2025 itatha, zovuta zachuma zazaka XNUMX zitha kupitilirabe kukhazikika kwakanthawi. Monga tafotokozera m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Ntchito mndandanda, 47 peresenti ya ntchito zamasiku ano zili pachiwopsezo cha makina / makompyuta pazaka makumi angapo zikubwerazi. Zimenezi zikutanthauza kuti pamene chiŵerengero cha anthu padziko lonse chikuwonjezereka, chiŵerengero chonse cha ntchito zopezeka chikucheperachepera. Ndipo ndi m'badwo wazaka chikwi kukhala wofanana komanso wofanana ndi luso la digito mpaka zaka zana, ntchito zotsala za mawa zitha kudyedwa ndi anthu azaka chikwi ndi zaka zawo zotalikirapo zogwira ntchito komanso luso lawo. 

    Chomaliza chomwe tinena ndichakuti anthu azaka XNUMX amakhala ndi chizolowezi chowononga ndalama zawo. peresenti 57 kulibwino kusunga kuposa kuwononga. Khalidweli likapitilira kukula kwazaka 2030, litha kukhala ndi vuto (ngakhale kukhazikika) pachuma pakati pa 2050 mpaka XNUMX.

    Poganizira zonsezi, zitha kukhala zosavuta kulemba zaka XNUMX, koma monga muwonera pansipa, zitha kukhala ndi kiyi yopulumutsa chuma chathu chamtsogolo. 

    Pamene Centennials atenga ndale

    Mofanana ndi zaka chikwi zomwe zinalipo patsogolo pawo, kukula kwa gulu lazaka zana ngati malo ovotera osadziwika bwino (mpaka mabiliyoni awiri amphamvu pofika 2020) zikutanthauza kuti adzakhala ndi chikoka chachikulu pazisankho zamtsogolo ndi ndale zonse. Zizoloŵezi zawo zamphamvu za ufulu wa anthu zidzawawonanso akuthandizira kwambiri ufulu wofanana kwa anthu ang'onoang'ono, komanso ndondomeko zowongoka za malamulo olowa ndi anthu othawa kwawo komanso chisamaliro chaumoyo padziko lonse. 

    Tsoka ilo, chikoka chandale chochulukirachi sichidzamveka mpaka ~ 2038 pomwe onse zaka 2050 adzakhala okalamba mokwanira kuti avote. Ndipo ngakhale pamenepo, chikokachi sichidzatengedwa mozama mpaka zaka za m'ma XNUMX, pamene anthu ambiri azaka XNUMX amakhwima kuti avote pafupipafupi komanso mwanzeru. Mpaka nthawi imeneyo, dziko lapansi lidzayendetsedwa ndi mgwirizano waukulu wa Gen Xers ndi millennials.

    Zovuta zamtsogolo pomwe Centennials aziwonetsa utsogoleri

    Monga tanena kale, zaka XNUMX zizipezeka patsogolo pakukonzanso kwakukulu kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi. Izi zidzayimira vuto lodziwika bwino lomwe zaka zana limodzi lidzakhala loyenera kuthana nalo.

    Vuto limenelo lidzakhala kuchuluka kwa ntchito. Monga tafotokozera m'nkhani zathu za Tsogolo la Ntchito, ndikofunikira kumvetsetsa kuti maloboti sakubwera kudzatenga ntchito zathu, akubwera kudzatenga (automate) ntchito zanthawi zonse. Ogwiritsa ntchito ma switchboard, ma clerks, mataipi, othandizira matikiti-nthawi zonse tikamayambitsa ukadaulo watsopano, ntchito zoseketsa, zobwerezabwereza zomwe zimaphatikizapo malingaliro oyambira ndi kulumikizana ndi manja zimagwera m'mbali.

    M'kupita kwa nthawi, izi zidzathetsa ntchito zonse kapena zidzangochepetsa chiwerengero cha antchito ofunikira kuti agwire ntchito. Ndipo ngakhale njira yosokoneza iyi ya makina olowa m'malo mwa anthu yakhalapo kuyambira chiyambi cha kusintha kwa mafakitale, chomwe chili chosiyana nthawi ino ndi kuchuluka kwa kusokonezeka kumeneku, makamaka pofika pakati pa 2030s. Kaya ndi kolala ya buluu kapena kolala yoyera, pafupifupi ntchito zonse zimakhala pachodulacho.

    Kumayambiriro koyambirira, machitidwe odzipangira okha adzayimira phindu kwa mabizinesi, mabizinesi, ndi eni chuma, popeza gawo lawo la phindu lamakampani lidzakula chifukwa cha ntchito yawo yama makina (mukudziwa, m'malo mogawana phindu ngati malipiro kwa anthu ogwira ntchito). Koma pamene mafakitale ndi mabizinesi ochulukirachulukira akupanga kusinthaku, chowonadi chosakhazikika chidzayamba kuonekera pansi: Ndani kwenikweni amene adzalipirire zinthu ndi ntchito zomwe makampaniwa amapanga pomwe anthu ambiri akukakamizidwa kulowa ntchito? Langizo: Si malobotiwo. 

    Izi ndi zomwe ma centennials adzalimbana nazo. Chifukwa cha chitonthozo chawo chachilengedwe ndi ukadaulo, maphunziro apamwamba (ofanana ndi zaka chikwi), kufunitsitsa kwawo kuchita bizinesi, komanso kulowa kwawo movutikira pamsika wantchito chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa ntchito, zaka XNUMX sizingachitire mwina koma kuyambitsa mabizinesi awo. pa masa. 

    Kuphulika kumeneku kwa ntchito zopanga, zamalonda (mwina zothandizidwa / zothandizidwa ndi maboma amtsogolo) mosakayikira zidzabweretsa zatsopano zamakono ndi zasayansi, ntchito zatsopano, ngakhale mafakitale atsopano. Koma sizikudziwikabe ngati chiyambi chazaka XNUMXchi chidzatha kupanga mazana mamiliyoni a ntchito zatsopano zofunika m'magawo opindulitsa komanso osapeza phindu kuti athandizire onse omwe akukankhidwira kusowa ntchito. 

    Kupambana (kapena kusowa) kwa funde loyambilira kwa zaka zana kudzatsimikizira kuti ndi liti / ngati maboma adziko lapansi ayamba kukhazikitsa ndondomeko yazachuma: Zowonjezera Zachilengedwe (UBI). Kufotokozedwa mwatsatanetsatane mu mndandanda wathu wa Tsogolo la Ntchito, UBI ndi ndalama zomwe zimaperekedwa kwa nzika zonse (olemera ndi osauka) payekhapayekha komanso mopanda malire, mwachitsanzo, popanda mayeso a njira kapena ntchito. Ndiboma limakupatsani ndalama zaulere mwezi uliwonse, monga penshoni yaukalamba koma kwa aliyense.

    UBI idzathetsa vuto la anthu opanda ndalama zokwanira chifukwa cha kusowa kwa ntchito, ndipo idzathetsanso vuto lalikulu lazachuma popatsa anthu ndalama zokwanira zogulira zinthu ndikusunga chuma cha ogula. Ndipo monga mumaganizira, zaka XNUMX zidzakhala m'badwo woyamba kukulira pansi pa kayendetsedwe kazachuma ka UBI. Kaya zimenezi zidzawakhudza m’njira yabwino kapena yoipa, tiyenera kudikira kuti tione.

    Pali zina ziwiri zazikuluzikulu / machitidwe omwe zaka zana zikuwonetsa utsogoleri.

    Choyamba ndi VR ndi AR. Kufotokozedwa mwatsatanetsatane m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la intaneti mndandanda, VR imagwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo m'malo mwa dziko lenileni ndi dziko loyerekeza (dinani ku chitsanzo cha kanema), pamene AR imasintha pa digito kapena imakulitsa momwe mumaonera dziko lenileni (dinani ku chitsanzo cha kanema). Mwachidule, VR ndi AR zidzakhala zaka XNUMX, zomwe intaneti inali kwa millennials. Ndipo ngakhale azaka chikwi atha kukhala omwe amapanga matekinoloje awa poyambilira, zitha kukhala zaka XNUMX zomwe zimadzipanga kukhala zawo ndikuzikulitsa momwe angathere. 

    Pomaliza, mfundo yomaliza yomwe tikhudzapo ndikusintha kwa majini aumunthu ndi kukulitsa. Podzafika zaka 30 zikafika kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 40 ndi XNUMX, makampani azachipatala adzatha kuchiza matenda aliwonse amtundu (asanabadwe komanso atabadwa) ndikuchiritsa kuvulala kulikonse. ( Phunzirani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Thanzi mndandanda.) Koma luso lomwe tidzagwiritse ntchito pochiritsa thupi la munthu lidzagwiritsidwanso ntchito kulikulitsa, kaya ndikusintha ma gene kapena kukhazikitsa kompyuta mkati mwa ubongo wanu. ( Phunzirani zambiri m'nkhani yathu Tsogolo la Chisinthiko cha Anthu mndandanda.) 

    Kodi azaka XNUMX angasankhe bwanji kugwiritsa ntchito kudumpha kumeneku pazachipatala komanso luso lachilengedwe? Kodi tingayembekezere moona mtima kuti adzaigwiritsa ntchito basi kukhala wathanzi? Kodi ambiri a iwo sakanaigwiritsa ntchito kukhala ndi moyo wautali? Kodi ena sangasankhe kukhala munthu woposa anthu? Ndipo ngati apita patsogolo, kodi sangafune kupereka phindu lomwelo kwa ana awo amtsogolo, mwachitsanzo, makanda opangidwa ndi opanga?

    Chiwonetsero cha dziko la Centennial

    Zaka zana limodzi adzakhala m'badwo woyamba kudziwa zambiri zaukadaulo watsopano - intaneti - kuposa makolo awo (Gen Xers). Koma iwonso adzakhala m'badwo woyamba kubadwa mu:

    • Dziko lomwe silingafune zonse (re: ntchito zochepa mtsogolomu);
    • Dziko lazambiri momwe angagwire ntchito zochepa kuti apulumuke kuposa momwe mbadwo uliwonse wakhalira m'zaka mazana;
    • Dziko limene zenizeni ndi digito zimagwirizanitsidwa kuti zikhale zenizeni zatsopano; ndi
    • Dziko lomwe malire a thupi la munthu kwa nthawi yoyamba adzakhala osinthika chifukwa cha luso la sayansi. 

    Ponseponse, zaka 2016 sanabadwe mu nthawi yakale; adzakalamba n’kukhala nthawi imene idzafotokozanso mbiri ya anthu. Koma pofika m’chaka cha XNUMX, adakali aang’ono, ndipo sakudziwabe kuti dziko likuwadikirira chiyani. … Tsopano popeza ndikuganiza za izi, mwina tidikire zaka khumi kapena ziwiri tisanawalole kuti awerenge izi.

    Tsogolo la mndandanda wa anthu

    Momwe Generation X idzasinthire dziko: Tsogolo la anthu P1

    Momwe Zaka Chikwi zidzasinthire dziko: Tsogolo la anthu P2

    Kukula kwa anthu motsutsana ndi ulamuliro: Tsogolo la anthu P4

    Tsogolo la Ukalamba: Tsogolo la Anthu P5

    Kuchoka ku moyo wokulirapo kupita ku moyo wosafa: Tsogolo la anthu P6

    Tsogolo la imfa: Tsogolo la anthu P7

    Kusintha kwamtsogolo kwamtsogolo kwamtsogolo

    2023-12-22

    Zolosera zam'tsogolo

    Maulalo otsatirawa otchuka komanso amasukulu adatchulidwira zamtsogolo:

    Bloomberg View (2)
    Wikipedia
    Impact International
    Northeastern University (2)

    Maulalo otsatirawa a Quantumrun adatchulidwira zamtsogolo: